Finland is considering the concept of security guarantees for Ukraine as part of a deterrence package that should be based on the willingness of European countries to act together with their allies in the event of renewed aggression by Russia. This position was expressed by Finland’s President Alexander Stubb during an interview with the British newspaper The Guardian.
Security guarantees are essentially a deterrent. This deterrent must be credible, and to be credible, it must be strong
– The Guardian
According to Stubb, such guarantees will come into effect only after a peace agreement is concluded between Ukraine and Russia, and the manner of their deployment will not depend on Moscow’s veto.
Russia has absolutely no say in the sovereign decisions of an independent nation (…) So, for me, it’s not a question of whether Russia will agree or not. Of course, it won’t agree, but it doesn’t matter
– Alexander Stubb
Experts emphasize that such an approach calls for close coordination among the EU, NATO, and other partners, focusing on real deterrence mechanisms and reliable support for Ukraine. At the same time, the concept underscores the importance of respecting the sovereignty of the countries that may face new challenges in the future.
Key conclusions and context
Finland’s position, with an emphasis on credible and strong security guarantees, reflects a commitment to stability in Europe and realistic frameworks for engaging with Russia in the event of an escalation, while also underscoring the importance of consensus among key allies and partners.