Election observer organization Europe Elects reveals through statistical analysis: Local elections showed serious signs of fraud

"Amid a long-running and expanding political crisis that has divided their country, Georgians went to the polls this month to elect municipal councils and mayoral offices nationwide.

For more than a year, the Caucasian republic has seen widespread protests following parliamentary elections that the opposition has alleged were rigged in favour of the incumbent Georgian Dream (GD~NI) party. These allegations have been supported by independent reports of “carousel voting” (busing of voters to cast multiple ballots), violations of voter secrecy, statistically inexplicable exit poll outliers, and irregular voting patterns.

Consequently, two opposition alliances – centre-right Unity (U/NM-EPP|RE) and liberal Coalition for Change (CfC-RE) – announced a full boycott ahead of this year’s local elections. They received 36% of the vote in the 2021 local elections and 22% in last year’s parliamentary vote.

However, opposition parties were not united in pursuing a boycott. Two centrist opposition lists, Strong Georgia (SG-RE) and For Georgia (ForGeo~ EPP), which had received a combined 11% in 2021 and 16% in 2024, did not join.

Instead, ForGeo fielded candidates in every municipality while SG ran in all but one. Despite their efforts, the two lists ultimately yielded a total result of just 10%. And while turnout fell to just 41%, significantly lower than in 2021 (52%) and 2024 (60%), GD saw its vote share increase from 47% (2021), respectively 54% (2024), to 82% in 2025. Such an extreme increase has raised doubts over the integrity of the results.

According to forensic electoral analysis conducted by Europe Elects, such doubts are not unfounded.

Based on a multi-methodological analysis of the official proportional vote data from over 3,000 precincts reported by the Georgian Central Electoral Commission, Europe Elects found that the results show serious signs of falsification and vote tampering, even while accounting for the specific peculiarities of this election."

https://europeelects.eu/2025/10/14/georgia-election-fraud-analysis-2025/