Unemployment could hit 25% among recent grads and trigger ‘unprecedented’ social disruption thanks to AI, U.S. senator warns | Fortune

https://fortune.com/2025/11/20/gen-z-college-grad-unemployment-could-hit-25-percent-warns-us-senator-unprecedented-disruption-ai/

15 Comments

  1. Sounds like we should actually start planning for this. Nah, the AI will sort it out later Im sure.

  2. From the article 

    AI could create a generation further burdened with student loan debt—and no job to repay it, according to Sen. Mark Warner.
    Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
    Today’s young people have endured crisis after crisis—social media upheaval, a pandemic, and political turmoil. And for many eager to finally start their careers, they’re facing yet another uphill battle: entering one of the toughest job markets in a decade.

    Job postings are down, and unemployment among recent graduates has climbed to 9.3%, according to the Federal Reserve—its highest level outside of the pandemic since 2014.

    But one lawmaker says this may only be the beginning.

    Unemployment for recent college graduates could surge to as high as 25% in the next two to three years, warned U.S. Senator Mark Warner (D-Va.) in an interview with Bloomberg, and it could cause a “level of social disruption that’s unprecedented.”

    “If we eliminate that front end of the pipeline, how are people ever going to get to that mid-career spot?” Warner added to CNBC.

    For Warner’s part, he’s said he’s working on a job retraining program—and wants AI companies, which he argues are contributing to the disruption, to cover most of the costs. He also partnered across the aisle with Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) to introduce a bill requiring major companies and federal agencies to report any AI-related job effects, including layoffs and displacement, to the Department of Labor—which would publish results to Congress and the public.

    “Artificial intelligence is already replacing American workers, and experts project AI could drive unemployment up to 10-20% in the next five years,” said Hawley in a press release. “The American people need to have an accurate understanding of how AI is affecting our workforce, so we can ensure that AI works for the people, not the other way around.”

    While Warner said he does believe AI will create new jobs in the long term, he warned that the transition period could create significant economic pain if Congress fails to act.

    Fortune reached out to Warner’s office for further comment.

    AI could eliminate 100 million jobs, one senator predicts
    Beyond entry-level work, lawmakers have also sounded the alarm that AI could lead to massive job disruption across all forms of work.

    A report released last month from Senator Bernie Sanders (D-Vt.) predicted that tech automation could result in the elimination of nearly 100 million jobs in the U.S., with roles in fast food, customer service, and labor facing the most disruption. High-skilled jobs like accounting, software development, and nursing could also see significant cuts.

    “It’s not just economics,” Sanders wrote in an op-ed for Fox News. “Work, whether being a janitor or a brain surgeon, is an integral part of being human. The vast majority of people want to be productive members of society and contribute to their communities. What happens when that vital aspect of human existence is removed from our lives?”

    It’s still unclear how Capitol Hill will ultimately address AI’s economic impact, but Warner cast doubt that lawmakers will agree on any meaningful legislation when it comes to AI safety, despite multiple congressional hearings on the topic.

    Complicating matters further, the Trump administration is reportedly considering an executive order that would preemptively block states from regulating AI.

    Warner warned that doing so would all but guarantee federal inaction: “If we take away the pressure from the states, Congress will never act,” he told CNBC. “Let’s look at the fact we never did anything on social media. If we make that same response on AI and don’t put guardrails, I think we will come to rue that day.”

  3. cute_polarbear on

    I was in a gathering of friends from different countries in different continents, the issue is getting serious and getting worse. Some country’s government actually asking companies to hire young college grads by offering financial incentives…

  4. DerekVanGorder on

    We should not be worried about falling employment.

    We should be worried about generating unnecessary jobs because we’ve delayed implementing a UBI.

  5. If you are stuck here is my advice to you
    1. Do a trade
    2. If said trade gets oversaturated/doesn’t pay enough go to college
    3. Once you graduate you will realize that the major (which many people told you was a good one that guaranteed job stability and a decent income) is actually oversaturated.
    4. Do a better trade or get a better degree 
    5. Repeat step 4 until something sticks
    6. At this point you should have found something decent. You may now take out your 15 year car loan and 50 year mortage. You should find religion at this point because you will need to spend the next 30-40 years of your working years praying that your skills stay relevant long enough for you to pass your mortage onto your kids. 

  6. It might sound callous, but *maybe* enough unhappy young people would lead to change. Look at history. An unhappy populace tend to lead to change.

  7. The AI excuse is getting so old. Our jobs are being outsourced en masse and nothing is being done about it. I worked my ass off to go to college for computer science and I now work a retail job that pays less than the job I had in high school.

  8. spicyjuicypickles on

    Whats even crazier is open AI started off as a non profit getting govt grants from our taxes….

    They literally got paid with our own money to replace us while not having any kind of gameplan. Per usual. They’d rather let a mass suffering / cull take place. Masses are getting difficult to keep in line and now they have AI and robots to replace us. We aren’t needed.

  9. ResisterImpedant on

    It’s not accurate to say it’s thanks to AI. It is accurate to say it’s thanks to capitalist greed. Don’t blame the symptom for the cause.

  10. ImjustANewSneaker on

    In then in ten years there will be a mid level crisis because they can’t find qualified people

  11. Single-Purpose-7608 on

    Rather than incentivizing businesses, the government should just pick up the slack and hire people. Pay college grads to do research, make masters degrees into a paid job. Pay college grads to take care of their families. Pay them to eat healthy. To clean up their neighborhoods. To do art, music etc. 
    There’s a lot of things that are valuable to society, but no one does because they dont have the time or money to do it, and it doesnt pay well. 

    Take it out of AI companies

  12. o_MrBombastic_o on

    And just like Climate Change we’ll do nothing to plan ahead and mitigate that transition instead we’ll continue to debate and kick the can down the road till it’s already too late and we’re stuck with the worst case scenario