Sweden vs Slovenia – Preview & Prediction: In the FIBA World Cup Qualification Round 2, Sweden will host Slovenia.
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Sweden vs Slovenia Preview
Sweden did not begin its World Cup qualifying campaign in the best way, suffering a heavy 97–80 road loss to the Czech Republic. What cost Sweden in that game was a disastrous second half, which they lost 50–34. This puts them in a must-win situation ahead of hosting a wounded Slovenia, but they will need a significantly better performance to make that happen.
First and foremost, Sweden will have to tighten its defense, as they allowed 97 points, nearly 52% shooting from three, and 25 team assists to the Czech Republic. Sweden did manage to win the rebounding battle, but committed six more turnovers, and their solid shooting numbers — 59% for two and 35.3% from beyond the arc — weren’t enough to compensate. Individually, Tobias Borg led the team with 18 points, while the creative Ludde Hakanson delivered a fantastic double-double with 15 points and 15 assists. Sweden’s strongest players are its perimeter guards, but they are also the team’s biggest defensive vulnerabilities, and opponents often exploit this. Karl Lundqvist, Denzel Andersson, and Mattias Markusson also scored in double figures in the loss. Sweden’s roster is limited in overall quality, meaning they will need to perform well above expectations — especially defensively — if they want any chance of beating Slovenia.
Slovenia, meanwhile, lost its opening Group H qualifier in stunning fashion. Estonia managed to defeat Slovenia 94–93 after overtime, on Slovenian soil, despite trailing by four points with only 12 seconds remaining. Estonia stole the ball from a careless Slovenian possession, and Kristian Kullamae hit a clutch three-pointer, handing Slovenia a painful loss that significantly complicates their position in the qualifying group.
The first half was competitive on both ends, but Estonia pulled ahead in the third quarter, building a seven-point lead. Slovenia, powered by Gregor Glas and Alen Omic, clawed back and tied the game with a minute and a half left. Young Slobodan Joksimovic missed two free throws in the final minute but later made a key two-pointer to give Slovenia the lead. However, Estonia executed a perfect after-timeout play, and Henri Drell scored easily to force overtime. In the extra period, Slovenia looked more stable and composed, needing only to avoid a major mistake in the final seconds. But the error came, and Estonia made full use of the opportunity. Adding to Slovenia’s problems, captain and leading scorer Gregor Hrovat has returned to his club and will be unavailable for the next game. This means more responsibility will fall on Miha Cerkvenik, Ziga Samar, and Gregor Glas, all of whom scored in double digits in Slovenia’s previous matchup.
Sweden vs Slovenia H2H
These two national teams have faced each other twice so far, both matchups coming three years ago — and Slovenia won on both occasions.
Injuries and Suspensions
Sweden will be without its NBA player Pelle Larsson, as well as Barra Njie, Melwin Pantzar and Simon Birgander. Slovenia, meanwhile, will miss several of its top players, including Luka Doncic, Aleksej Nikolic, Edo Muric, Gregor Hrovat, and Klemen Prepelic.
Where to Watch Sweden vs Slovenia?
Sweden vs Slovenia Best Betting Tip and Prediction
Sweden played a very poor game in the first round on the road against Czech Republic, so a reaction is expected from the team at home in a very important match against a shaken Slovenia. When a team loses in the manner Slovenia was defeated by Estonia on its own court, it can seriously affect the players’ confidence. On top of that, Slovenia enters this match without their captain and top scorer from the first round, which clearly means they will face big problems against home-side Sweden, led by Ludde Hakanson. Considering all that, we believe the home team will claim the victory, and by more than the indicated handicap.
Tip-off Time: Monday, 01.12.2025, 19:00 CET
Prediction: Sweden -2.5
Odds: 1.78
Stake: 2 Units
Sportsbook: 22Bet
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