Relative to population would have been more useful IMO
4tegon on
Bad times ahead for Africa and South Asia.
Pyroechidna1 on
Didn’t China over count their working age population by like 100M already?
Repulsive_Work_226 on
Spain has a growing population mostly due to migration. Does this exclude migration?
A_Perez2 on
Well, it’s clear that the greens will replace the oranges.
Zer_God on
If nothing changes then nations with orange circles will go extinct and greens will repopulate their lands through migration. If nothing changes.
Catch_ME on
I doubt the US holds true if we continue the reduction of immigration.
YoungMaleficent9068 on
USA without deportations I assume?
Diet4Democracy on
The unanswerable question is whether China and Russia will become open to significant immigration from Africa, Arab countries, India, and Pakistan in order to deal with population pressures, and if so how will these deal with a significant challenge to the dominant culture. The former British territories and France have experience in integrating immigrants. China and Russia (and until recently the rest of Europe) do not.
Commercial_Wind8212 on
When you’re talking billions these aren’t huge numbers. We will be ok if the population dips
Routine_Ad_2695 on
Given the trend at what Spain is getting Latin American immigration compare to the population increases on other European countries I would expect even a net positive increase, even if narrow
For sure being higher than Germany, Italy, etc
Audacimmus on
Brazil is looking kinda bad here. Fertility rate of a typical modern European country without having reached a comparable level of HDI & economic status as a European country or as Chile to compare with a South American country.
Which-Sun-3746 on
US: Barring we don’t elect more GOP members who promise to deport 10 million people over their presidential term.
quercus-88 on
We Europeans really need to get our birthrate up from catastrophic to at least only terrible. Our current trajectory is one of demographic, economic and cultural suicide.
(Before you ask. Yes, i have children and yes, it’s great.)
RemarkableReturn8400 on
90% of African migration is internal; You keep ignoring this fact to push an agenda that doesn’t matter really.
hide4way on
No one is even close to being fucked like Ukraine. They have the lowest birth rate on the planet and one of the highest mortality rates. (even without taking into account military losses, high stress increases mortality in the general population). Millions of young women with children have left the country, and even in an optimistic scenario few will return.
Taken together, all this puts the country on the brink of existence for the next few generations.
AggravatingCurve6010 on
And 146M of the Indian ones will actually be in Canada
Os2099 on
Indian going to start exporting population
zack_tiger on
The agenda is so visible here. No one’s gonna replace no one. Most migration is internal in African nations at least. Economies need workers as simple as that. It benefits your coloniser European nations when workers come and harms more the nation they went from, high skilled labor loss is the biggest loss.
About India, the Indian economy is at a maturing stage, there is a huge industry, both depth and sheer amount wise to absorb all these people. Key indicators are 2nd in steel production, 2nd in coal and 2nd in cement, all are indicators of heavy industry which signifoes industrial depth.
India also undeniably has one of the best tech, pharmaceutical, electronics, as well as domestic consumer and construction markets and the most fertile land in the world to absorb all these people quite easily without even people needing to leave the nation. There is internal stability as well as a potent defence force so don’t worry about india. In fact I’d say I expected more people.
lousy-site-3456 on
Damn. I mean, I did sleep long but, 25 years?? What else has changed? Do we finally get hover boards? Can we regrow teeth?
pqratusa on
China’s drop is crazy!
Themoddedguy on
WE NEED TO GIVE CONDOMS TO THE ENTIRE CONTINENT OF AFRICA AND INDIA!
51Crying on
The fact that China has wiped out significant percentages of the worlds population not once but 5 times in their history and STILL are as large as they are today leads me to believe they’ll be just fine.
RoyalChapionMain on
Uh oh who wouldve thunk limiting households to one child would cause problems later on 😶🌫️
024008085 on
Massive doubt on these numbers.
Australia brings in 400-600k migrants per year, the vast majority of whom are working age and children; they’re projecting only a 3m growth in working age population despite a likely 13m or higher population rise over that time and our working age being considered to be 15-67.
India will be the biggest net loser of migrants in the world and birth rate dropped below replacement in 2023.
What’s the source?
Hot_Medium_3633 on
So America stays on top essentially?
Gothyoba on
Some of thise drops could be reduce if we loosened child labour restrictions.
cowardly-duck on
Hmm actually with massive immigration stop in USA, and massive immigration opening in Spain the projection if made in 2026 would look very different I think
Put3socks-in-it on
China is screwed
fenwayb on
damn I didn’t respect tanzanias game. Im all in on the Botswana super power but maybe I gotta switch teams
ChorizoCriollo on
Damn, this is a world I can deal with… what a relief.
32 Comments
Projected change
Relative to population would have been more useful IMO
Bad times ahead for Africa and South Asia.
Didn’t China over count their working age population by like 100M already?
Spain has a growing population mostly due to migration. Does this exclude migration?
Well, it’s clear that the greens will replace the oranges.
If nothing changes then nations with orange circles will go extinct and greens will repopulate their lands through migration. If nothing changes.
I doubt the US holds true if we continue the reduction of immigration.
USA without deportations I assume?
The unanswerable question is whether China and Russia will become open to significant immigration from Africa, Arab countries, India, and Pakistan in order to deal with population pressures, and if so how will these deal with a significant challenge to the dominant culture. The former British territories and France have experience in integrating immigrants. China and Russia (and until recently the rest of Europe) do not.
When you’re talking billions these aren’t huge numbers. We will be ok if the population dips
Given the trend at what Spain is getting Latin American immigration compare to the population increases on other European countries I would expect even a net positive increase, even if narrow
For sure being higher than Germany, Italy, etc
Brazil is looking kinda bad here. Fertility rate of a typical modern European country without having reached a comparable level of HDI & economic status as a European country or as Chile to compare with a South American country.
US: Barring we don’t elect more GOP members who promise to deport 10 million people over their presidential term.
We Europeans really need to get our birthrate up from catastrophic to at least only terrible. Our current trajectory is one of demographic, economic and cultural suicide.
https://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/our-research/dependency-and-depopulation-confronting-the-consequences-of-a-new-demographic-reality
(Before you ask. Yes, i have children and yes, it’s great.)
90% of African migration is internal; You keep ignoring this fact to push an agenda that doesn’t matter really.
No one is even close to being fucked like Ukraine. They have the lowest birth rate on the planet and one of the highest mortality rates. (even without taking into account military losses, high stress increases mortality in the general population). Millions of young women with children have left the country, and even in an optimistic scenario few will return.
Taken together, all this puts the country on the brink of existence for the next few generations.
And 146M of the Indian ones will actually be in Canada
Indian going to start exporting population
The agenda is so visible here. No one’s gonna replace no one. Most migration is internal in African nations at least. Economies need workers as simple as that. It benefits your coloniser European nations when workers come and harms more the nation they went from, high skilled labor loss is the biggest loss.
About India, the Indian economy is at a maturing stage, there is a huge industry, both depth and sheer amount wise to absorb all these people. Key indicators are 2nd in steel production, 2nd in coal and 2nd in cement, all are indicators of heavy industry which signifoes industrial depth.
India also undeniably has one of the best tech, pharmaceutical, electronics, as well as domestic consumer and construction markets and the most fertile land in the world to absorb all these people quite easily without even people needing to leave the nation. There is internal stability as well as a potent defence force so don’t worry about india. In fact I’d say I expected more people.
Damn. I mean, I did sleep long but, 25 years?? What else has changed? Do we finally get hover boards? Can we regrow teeth?
China’s drop is crazy!
WE NEED TO GIVE CONDOMS TO THE ENTIRE CONTINENT OF AFRICA AND INDIA!
The fact that China has wiped out significant percentages of the worlds population not once but 5 times in their history and STILL are as large as they are today leads me to believe they’ll be just fine.
Uh oh who wouldve thunk limiting households to one child would cause problems later on 😶🌫️
Massive doubt on these numbers.
Australia brings in 400-600k migrants per year, the vast majority of whom are working age and children; they’re projecting only a 3m growth in working age population despite a likely 13m or higher population rise over that time and our working age being considered to be 15-67.
India will be the biggest net loser of migrants in the world and birth rate dropped below replacement in 2023.
What’s the source?
So America stays on top essentially?
Some of thise drops could be reduce if we loosened child labour restrictions.
Hmm actually with massive immigration stop in USA, and massive immigration opening in Spain the projection if made in 2026 would look very different I think
China is screwed
damn I didn’t respect tanzanias game. Im all in on the Botswana super power but maybe I gotta switch teams
Damn, this is a world I can deal with… what a relief.