Final account of the year 2025 in Russia's war in eastern Europe.

RED – 2025 gains/losses

BLUE occupied by Russian forces over the years 2013–2024

HATCHED – occupied prior to February 24, 2022.

These few red clusters cost Rossia a quarter of a million dead and wounded, thousands of tanks and combat vehicles, the destruction of the Black Sea Fleet including two submarines, halving the strategic bomber fleet, and the loss of all AWACS aircraft.

Russia cannot militarily defeat Ukraine and can only hope for two things:

That they manage to exhaust the Ukrainian army, or for betrayal by its allies (US).

Image and text excerpt from @carramba66

Posted by rupr-z

31 Comments

  1. Serious_Profit4450 on

    …….**Citation needed**. A lot of your statements sound to me like *Subjective Opinion.*

  2. Well, if we are thinking like a Machiavellian (Putinian?) leader, around 300.000 men are reaching military age annually so it pays off

    lol the dowvotes, I’m not pro russian, have you people heard of Machiavellism? It’s a medieval way of running things and Putin is so obviously following it

  3. DevilcryforAngel on

    Black see fleet isn’t destroy ( yes some ships destroy )
    AWACS still some on service or some damage not destroy.
    Only one submarine destroy, last one is report untouch or at least damage only .
    A quarter million dead on 2025 look absurd because this mean 1 millions dead on 4 years and this all the army russia has at the started of the SMO combiné with the 300k mobilization and more menpowers
    With this number, war is already over.

    You forget one think, nobody gonna win but surely not ukraine.
    Russia have everything is bigger quantity, sadly say like that, human lives.
    Materials, manpower,industrial capability, everything is for russia.
    This is a war of attrition, first to reach the breaking point loose.
    Russia with this avantages can only “win”, a pyric victory of course .
    Curently Ukraine reach this breaking point and do all they can to stand and they do it quietly good but for how long ?
    How you see it, the front is collapsing, they survive by drone and counterattack with all réservé and élite unit on some précise point, other front is loosing terrain fast for a WW1 type attrition Warfare

    This is World War 3 pre alpha test with WW1 mecanic and mad max modern tech with some testing for the official release
    Nobody gonna win, the lose are terrible.
    First to break loose

    For everyone survive, they never see the end of the war.
    Only the dead see the end of the war.

  4. this is one of the most ineffective wars in the whole history. The west is still afraid of escalation 🤡

  5. Guys, stop to dislike u/DevilcryforAngel for unpopular, but largely true criticism. All normal people would be happy if Russia got fucked to the hell (which it is anyway), but the reality is simply not like that, and if Ukraine is not really helped more drastically, then how long do you think this can be put up with. This is already a miracle that is rarely seen in history!

  6. ‘That they manage to exhaust the Ukrainian army, or for betrayal by its allies (US).’ Looking more and more likely.

    You could’ve said the exact same with the French in what, 1916?

  7. There is always an equivalent cost for the Ukraine side trying to defend their territory, though the ratio maybe in their favor.

    Perspective matters. Russia invaded Ukraine and annexed the majority of the Donbas, if you see 2025 in terms of Ukraine’s progress, you’d have “- territories taken back”.

  8. As long as the Russian state remains stable and territory is added, I don’t think Putin cares about the cost. Sadly, I think Russians are okay with the cost too, because they see it as an existential struggle.

    ​From a neutral perspective, it is absolutely not worth it, it’s a disaster. But from the Kremlin’s point of view, I think the situation is good enough. Every gain on the ground gives them stronger leverage in peace talks and, considering the allies’ approach, I would think Putin is okay with the cost and gains overall.

  9. FunFactChecker on

    They are Creeping across Ukraine. Its doesn’t seem ominous, but will a sudden collapse happen? On either side? Surely the pressure will have to be released at some point?

  10. lol, by the sounds of it Russia is steamrolling Ukraine. They’ll be in Kiev by 2050 by the looks of it 

  11. This is progressing quite well recently. After Donbass, it will be quicker. Don’t worry too much.

  12. In ww1 France suffered 1.3m dead over 4-5 years. The idea that Russia is losing as many lives per year (0.25m) in a war with a hundredth of the troop densities per mile is simply not credible.

    I wouldn’t be surprised if front line infantry is less than 200k soldiers on either side. Most engagements involve a few hundred soldiers. There have been no meat waves.

    Edit – I expect a deal in 2026. Both sides look like they have one year of money to me. Downvote this and you just prove you cannot do math. 

  13. GhostofRobesonLXXI on

    NATO spent 8 years arming and “training” (this training has proven to be useless, per the Ukrainians) the Ukrainian army and they firmly entrenched themselves in the Donbass and in other areas of what used to be eastern Ukraine in order to teach those Russian-speakers a lesson. Dislodging the Ukrainians has been a slog, but it’s really picking up pace now.

    Ugledar, Mariupol, Bakhmut, Avdeevka, Pokrovsk, etc., were all military citadels with a well-entrenched Ukrainian army, but they were all worn down and broken by the Russians.

    You are completely wrong in your assessment that “Russia cannot militarily defeat Ukraine”. Not only are they defeating Ukraine, they are also defeating the dozens of NATO militaries who’ve been sending mercs, weapons, and providing tactical intelligence to Ukraine, and this is exactly why the West is so desperate to talk the Russians into stopping.

    NATO convinced Ukraine they could win, and they were horribly wrong.

  14. From 1st Dec 2024 to 30th Nov 2025, russian casualties (killed, wounded, captured and missing) are estimated to be 429,248.
    (From UK Defence Intelligence figures)

    December 2025 figures will be released next week. Expected to be greater than 30,000 again for the 3rd consecutive month.

  15. Due_Campaign_9765 on

    > Russia cannot militarily defeat Ukraine
    > That they manage to exhaust the Ukrainian army

    Those are the same things. Wars do not end when a general performs a brilliant maneuvre. They either end when one side capitulates or fully exhausts any capacity to resist.

    I’m not sure what that comment was supposed to mean.

  16. TheFinestPotatoes on

    Ultimately what’s needed here is a change in strategy.

    We need to make normal life *impossible* in Russia such that the state is incapable of continuing the war while simultaneously avoiding nuclear retaliation from a disintegrating Russian state.

    A full trade boycott. Sink their commercial shipping. Covert operations to destroy key infrastructure. Flood their markets with counterfeit products that injure civilians, destroy commercial aviation, etc. Cyber attacks to cause meltdowns to nuclear reactors or wreck their power grid. Stir up ethnic minorities to revolt.

    That kind of thing.

    It’s not easy by any means and there are lots of risks but it’s probably the only viable strategy at this point.