![Where to aim your dart at to get the highest average score? v2, [OC]](https://www.byteseu.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/3wt7lf5ggsbg1-1536x1400.gif "Where to aim your dart at to get the highest average score? v2, [OC]")
Assuming that the hit probability is normally distributed around the aim point, this is the expected average score per dart, as a function of the aim point. The .gif sweeps over different precision values. Accuracy is assumed to be perfect. The red line indicates the region(s) with the top 10% score for that precision band. Total beginners should aim for dead center, the pros for triple 20, no surprises there. Made using MATLAB, by convolving a dartboard scoring function with a 2-D Gaussian throw-dispersion model. New version based on helpful suggestions from sircod, dcnairb and snatch_hugger. First version mistakenly had the board mirrored.
Posted by DDD1604
10 Comments
The review process works. Looks great!!
Can you explain more what you mean by precision values while accuracy is assumed to be perfect?
Does the gif sweep towards perfect accuracy and away from low acc? I wonder how you would say it differently. Very cool
Good update! Looks consistent with [this similar analysis now](https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/gqdr1v/oc_the_dartboard_where_is_the_best_place_to_aim/).
This makes way more sense than the previous one – I was always told that triple 19 is the best spot for beginners
Cool data, represented accurately, in an actually beautiful way. This is what this sub used to be. Awesome man
Would be interesting to see it with separate x and y accuracy – as a shit darts player I think x is easier than y so I usually aim for treble 14!
My friends and I would used to play a tone of 20 round cut-throat cricket (must close, or hit 3 times, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, and bull). As soon as we got good enough that we’d have every number closed by round 7~8 we had to make an agreement that each team would always leave either 16 or 15 open so the game always went the 20 rounds, to make the most out of our money. We always knew 16 had a slight advantage and kinda wished 15 and 16 were switched on the board.
I love this!! nice representation too!
Maybe something to add; I don’t think throwing precision is ‘circular’. If I draw a line around a same probability area(as you did), I would expect, from practice, that the resulting shape is elliptical with higher accuracy horizontally and lower accuracy vertically. What if you take this into account?
I’ve been thinking about this in the past and indeed started to aim more towards the bottom left triples which was better with my aim lol.
Not sure why the other post was removed, but kind of funny that my comment ([HERE](https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/1q5sclt/comment/ny2d1ck/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button)) lines up almost exactly where this says you should aim to maximize average dart score.
I like how there is a point where I should aim for 7, because I’m most likely going to miss and hit 16 or 19 instead. But inner part of 7, otherwise I might miss the board entirely. 😛