As essentially a purveyor of software used by white collar workers he understands that if that actually happened his business would collapse, right?
Like he’s pretty much saying “dump Microsoft stock today”.
RabidSkwerl on
We’re 26 months into AI being 12-18 months f on replacing everyone’s job.
Subject9800 on
What do these dickheads think all of these replaced people are going to do? If they’re not working, they’re not making money, and then they can’t buy anything. I don’t understand how they don’t see this as a problem.
A_Novelty-Account on
I know there is a solid (and healthy) level of skepticism around AI especially on Reddit where a huge portion of people are white collar workers, but the current iterations of AI are the worst they will ever be. LLMs and other AI models will only get better from here, and have done so at an exponential rate already.
AI is already replacing jobs, and the level of replacement is likely to grow substantially over the coming years. I wonder if it isn’t time for us to stop coming up with reasons AI won’t replace our jobs, and start planning for a fairly inevitable and near future (though not necessarily on a 12-18 month timeline) where it might.
Edit: glad this is generating discussion. I will not be able to respond to every comment. My broader point is that maybe instead of just dismissing the news every time someone who understands AI says that AI is coming for white collar jobs, it would be a better idea to take that seriously and ask our government what is going to happen *if* our jobs are replaced…
lawjiang on
White collar tasks replaced in 12 months Buddy, my printer hasn’t worked since 2014 AI’s got bigger battles ahead.
Tribolonutus on
Well, apparently replacing programmers with AI didn’t ended up well for Microslop. This company has become an example, why vibe coding is wrong.
Roostroyer on
So if they replace all employees with AI and job scarcity increases… who’s gonna buy their products if people don’t have an income?
TimeTravelingChris on
Well let’s see, yesterday AI recommended I buy pants that didn’t exist, and told me (adamantly) to seal shower weep holes that would have caused thousands in water damage.
Double010 on
Techbros saying “12 – 18 months” is the same as Donald Trump saying “2 weeks”.
mp90 on
*Can be* is the operative phrase…not *will be*. I work for an AI company. The biggest challenges our customers have are around modernizing legacy IT systems, getting internal buy-in, meeting compliance, addressing security, and running upskill training. Those are hefty issues that do not resolve in months or even a few years.
Odd_Hair3829 on
Can AI snort cocaine in the bathroom? I don’t think so!
PapaBorq on
It would require a person to train the AI. I’m not training an AI and my boss doesn’t know how to do my job.
DesapirSquid on
what non-sense is this. I do have a pole over here though, and a pencil sharpener (your scale may vary)
thesockninja on
so it can’t open a PDF and will call me at 2:30am half drunk
Microsoft acquiring GitHub and turning it into dumpster fire where there is an incident almost every single effing day is a perfect example of how well they can predict the future these days.
In a year, maybe less,they will have replaced people who created this dumpster fire with smarter, steadier, and less embarrassing. Call it AI if you like. At least then we will not have to pretend incompetence is strategy.
aGuyNamedScrunchie on
It’s getting worse and less reliable. I simply no longer believe AI is going to replace jobs anytime soon. It has trained itself far too much on other AI outputs. I don’t trust it as much as I used to.
HarlanCedeno on
I’d be impressed if AI could explain to me what most white collar workers actually do.
EuropeanInTexas on
I’ll believe him once he releases a version of co-pilot that is worth a damn.
kaiiizen on
Says a guy who’s never done most of said white collar jobs.
Groobear on
Just because it can replace those jobs still doesn’t mean it will replace those jobs. Ironically it could make those jobs more desirable because people may be willing to pay more for human services compared to robot services.
dedwards024 on
Companies would have to pay a shit ton for the product anyway right?
PhD_V on
It can definitely replace most C-suite executives, I’ll say that…
csmflynt3 on
Hmm, that tells me that companies are hiring a bunch of completely useless idiots for those jobs then…. That is basically what he is saying if you can get replaced by AI so easily. Maybe he is right
Cruzifixio on
Can I use AI to write open source Windows replacement?
Tyzorg on
They sold this crap to idiots that truly believed that “universal basic income ” would result from these greedy ass ceos that don’t want to pay wages to anyone. Like others have said wtf are they thinking who is going to buy their products ? Their other rich friends? How long is that gonna work out for em
Eat--The--Rich-- on
So make it illegal then. Or charge them a ubi tax of double the payroll for each job they eliminate.
Libby1798 on
Did AI make that prediction?
Seriously, I wonder why we don’t tar and feather executives for these completely brain-dead takes. I want this man publicly shamed in 12-18 months.
Unasked_for_advice on
Hopefully they do it TOP DOWN and replace these CEOs first
RougeRock170 on
So who will buy all their useless products if all white collar jobs are gone?
AsianCabbageHair on
I would be surprised if the CEO actually knows each and every bit of those ‘white-collar tasks’ so that he knows they can all be replaced. I mean, their employees do get less paycheck, but that doesn’t mean they know everything their employees know (which, by the way, is the very reason they hired someone in the first place: they just don’t know how to do something that someone else can, at least in a reasonable amount of time). How are they so sure that their employees’ tasks can be replaced when you haven’t actually done all of those?
Vortep1 on
If AI was really going to upend social structure like this then the government (ruling class).would probably not want that to happen. Historically big social change is not good for them. Putting 30-100 in a country with 150 million workers out of work would literally mean WW3 or civil war or revolution. Maybe all three.
anthonyg45157 on
Maybe certain jobs yes.. but with many customer facing jobs humans want other humans… Whether that’s to complain, or belittle.. It’s the truth. Many repetitive jobs will be replaced and probably should be but many jobs simply aren’t going anywhere as people want other people to go to when things aren’t right. AI gets rid of direct accountability which is what managers and businesses want.
Pyro919 on
lol, good luck managing all the change management and internal politics.
While I admire and appreciate that it could be done, the fact of the matter is most enterprises are so risk averse that they have multiple change advisory boards and require manual implementation in so many different facets that could have been automated years ago, that you expect them to just let ai run free without question seems like a pipe dream.
Good luck cutting through all the red tape.
Having worked in consulting for several years now, it’s unlikely that anyone is going to let your ai have crate blanche and while it may be capable, expecting anyone to let it run free without oversight is unrealistic and insane.
r21174 on
Were going to use humans to setup ai jobs to take your job away..
34 Comments
As essentially a purveyor of software used by white collar workers he understands that if that actually happened his business would collapse, right?
Like he’s pretty much saying “dump Microsoft stock today”.
We’re 26 months into AI being 12-18 months f on replacing everyone’s job.
What do these dickheads think all of these replaced people are going to do? If they’re not working, they’re not making money, and then they can’t buy anything. I don’t understand how they don’t see this as a problem.
I know there is a solid (and healthy) level of skepticism around AI especially on Reddit where a huge portion of people are white collar workers, but the current iterations of AI are the worst they will ever be. LLMs and other AI models will only get better from here, and have done so at an exponential rate already.
AI is already replacing jobs, and the level of replacement is likely to grow substantially over the coming years. I wonder if it isn’t time for us to stop coming up with reasons AI won’t replace our jobs, and start planning for a fairly inevitable and near future (though not necessarily on a 12-18 month timeline) where it might.
Edit: glad this is generating discussion. I will not be able to respond to every comment. My broader point is that maybe instead of just dismissing the news every time someone who understands AI says that AI is coming for white collar jobs, it would be a better idea to take that seriously and ask our government what is going to happen *if* our jobs are replaced…
White collar tasks replaced in 12 months Buddy, my printer hasn’t worked since 2014 AI’s got bigger battles ahead.
Well, apparently replacing programmers with AI didn’t ended up well for Microslop. This company has become an example, why vibe coding is wrong.
So if they replace all employees with AI and job scarcity increases… who’s gonna buy their products if people don’t have an income?
Well let’s see, yesterday AI recommended I buy pants that didn’t exist, and told me (adamantly) to seal shower weep holes that would have caused thousands in water damage.
Techbros saying “12 – 18 months” is the same as Donald Trump saying “2 weeks”.
*Can be* is the operative phrase…not *will be*. I work for an AI company. The biggest challenges our customers have are around modernizing legacy IT systems, getting internal buy-in, meeting compliance, addressing security, and running upskill training. Those are hefty issues that do not resolve in months or even a few years.
Can AI snort cocaine in the bathroom? I don’t think so!
It would require a person to train the AI. I’m not training an AI and my boss doesn’t know how to do my job.
what non-sense is this. I do have a pole over here though, and a pencil sharpener (your scale may vary)
so it can’t open a PDF and will call me at 2:30am half drunk
Sure Jan
https://mrshu.github.io/github-statuses/ ‘The missing Github status page’
Microsoft acquiring GitHub and turning it into dumpster fire where there is an incident almost every single effing day is a perfect example of how well they can predict the future these days.
In a year, maybe less,they will have replaced people who created this dumpster fire with smarter, steadier, and less embarrassing. Call it AI if you like. At least then we will not have to pretend incompetence is strategy.
It’s getting worse and less reliable. I simply no longer believe AI is going to replace jobs anytime soon. It has trained itself far too much on other AI outputs. I don’t trust it as much as I used to.
I’d be impressed if AI could explain to me what most white collar workers actually do.
I’ll believe him once he releases a version of co-pilot that is worth a damn.
Says a guy who’s never done most of said white collar jobs.
Just because it can replace those jobs still doesn’t mean it will replace those jobs. Ironically it could make those jobs more desirable because people may be willing to pay more for human services compared to robot services.
Companies would have to pay a shit ton for the product anyway right?
It can definitely replace most C-suite executives, I’ll say that…
Hmm, that tells me that companies are hiring a bunch of completely useless idiots for those jobs then…. That is basically what he is saying if you can get replaced by AI so easily. Maybe he is right
Can I use AI to write open source Windows replacement?
They sold this crap to idiots that truly believed that “universal basic income ” would result from these greedy ass ceos that don’t want to pay wages to anyone. Like others have said wtf are they thinking who is going to buy their products ? Their other rich friends? How long is that gonna work out for em
So make it illegal then. Or charge them a ubi tax of double the payroll for each job they eliminate.
Did AI make that prediction?
Seriously, I wonder why we don’t tar and feather executives for these completely brain-dead takes. I want this man publicly shamed in 12-18 months.
Hopefully they do it TOP DOWN and replace these CEOs first
So who will buy all their useless products if all white collar jobs are gone?
I would be surprised if the CEO actually knows each and every bit of those ‘white-collar tasks’ so that he knows they can all be replaced. I mean, their employees do get less paycheck, but that doesn’t mean they know everything their employees know (which, by the way, is the very reason they hired someone in the first place: they just don’t know how to do something that someone else can, at least in a reasonable amount of time). How are they so sure that their employees’ tasks can be replaced when you haven’t actually done all of those?
If AI was really going to upend social structure like this then the government (ruling class).would probably not want that to happen. Historically big social change is not good for them. Putting 30-100 in a country with 150 million workers out of work would literally mean WW3 or civil war or revolution. Maybe all three.
Maybe certain jobs yes.. but with many customer facing jobs humans want other humans… Whether that’s to complain, or belittle.. It’s the truth. Many repetitive jobs will be replaced and probably should be but many jobs simply aren’t going anywhere as people want other people to go to when things aren’t right. AI gets rid of direct accountability which is what managers and businesses want.
lol, good luck managing all the change management and internal politics.
While I admire and appreciate that it could be done, the fact of the matter is most enterprises are so risk averse that they have multiple change advisory boards and require manual implementation in so many different facets that could have been automated years ago, that you expect them to just let ai run free without question seems like a pipe dream.
Good luck cutting through all the red tape.
Having worked in consulting for several years now, it’s unlikely that anyone is going to let your ai have crate blanche and while it may be capable, expecting anyone to let it run free without oversight is unrealistic and insane.
Were going to use humans to setup ai jobs to take your job away..