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    Exclusive Poll: Anti-Reform Tactical Voters Poised to Defeat Nigel Farage’s Party in Gorton and Denton By-election
    United Kingdom

    Exclusive Poll: Anti-Reform Tactical Voters Poised to Defeat Nigel Farage’s Party in Gorton and Denton By-election

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    14 Comments

    1. RaymondBumcheese on

      Even if I had no strong feelings for Labour or Greens, I would be so utterly ashamed of having Matt Goodwin as my local MP, I think I would even start door knocking for one of them.

    2. Current_Case7806 on

      This is what is being seen up and down the country. People aren’t happy with any choice…but they know which one they definitely don’t want!

    3. JustWhy1222 on

      I was convinced this was what would happen in the by election, however the bylinetimes saying it somehow makes it less likely. Their track record on predicting close votes isn’t exactly stellar.

    4. Salty-Bid1597 on

      Switching from the incumbent government party to a fringe party is not tactical voting, it’s suicidal idiocy.

      Not a fan of any of these parties but clearly continuing to vote Labour is the best way of defeating Reform.

      Also a great advert for Ranked Choice voting: There is clearly a huge majority against Reform but factional squabbling on the left is quite likely to mean the voters of this constituency get a Reform MP elected by a small minority. Under ranked choice they could vote for the party they actually wanted and at the very least get a left wing MP.

    6. No_Atmosphere8146 on

      The forecast is:

      * 30% Green
      * 28% Reform
      * 28% Labour
      * 6% Tory
      * 4% Lib Dem.

      That’s 62% leftist vs 34% rightist, and yet there is a real chance of a right party taking this because the right knows how to coalesce and the left doesn’t.

    7. Justnotstressed on

      “Anti-Reform tactical voters” – i.e the electorate that don’t hate brown people and are not economically incompetent.

    8. Less_Mess_5803 on

      This is like being stuck between a rock amd a hard place. Reform or greens Jesus what a choice. Both absolutely awful.

    9. BazzaSmith on

      Labour are going to struggle really really hard in this By-election.

      People outside the area need to remember that the previous Labour MP for this area was Andrew Gwynne, the former MP who was at the centre of the “Trigger me Timbers” WhatsApp group. Him leaving politics is the reason we have this By-election.

      When Labour’s previous guy was a poorly vetted Racist, all the drama about Mandelson being poorly vetted and denying Andy Burnham the opportunity to run, there’s a lot more anti-Labour sentiment in this area than others in the country.

      Last year this would’ve been a very safe Labour seat, I think the Labour vote may end up being even smaller than the polls suggest.

      If Greens win, Reform will blame tactical voting

      If Reform win, Labour and Greens will blame each other

      If Labour win, It’ll be about damage control, depending on how much of their majority in one of their safest seats they’ve just lost.

    10. Mean-Dinner-8780 on

      With Labour and Greens on the same share (within the margin of error of the polls).  You’re going to get both parties saying “tactically vote for us to beat Reform”.  And we could see people switching in both directions cancelling each other out.

      It’s much easier for Tory voters.  Their tactical options are clear.

    11. PartyPoison98 on

      That, like all these constituency level polls, is a very small sample size. I wouldnt read much from this.

      Those Lab, Green and LD voters surveyed is about 200 people.

    13. Ok-Employee383 on

      I couldn’t decide which racist bunch of losers to vote for myself. Good thing I had a choice.