Finland is the clear favourite to win the Eurovision Song Contest 2026, with just over a third of countries left to reveal or select their songs for the contest in Finland.
With thirteen songs left to be chosen or revealed, “Liekinheitin” from Finland is the current favourite to be the 70th winner of the Eurovision Song Contest. According to Eurovision World, Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen currently have a near 22% chance of victory, followed by Denmark and Australia, while Montenegro sits at the bottom of the odds.
Australia has surged up the odds following Delta Goodrem being announced as their representative, moving from 12th favourite with a less than 3% chance of victory. Denmark has similarly jumped following the confirmation that their song will remain in Danish.
As we enter the final week for national selections, and draw nearer to the deadline for songs to be released by, the current odds of victory are:
- Finland – Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen – “Liekinheitin” – 21.7%
- Denmark – Søren Torpegaard Lund – “Før vi går hjem” – 10.6%
- Australia – Delta Goodrem – “Eclipse” – 9.3%
- Greece – Akylas – “Ferto” – 9.1%
- Israel – Noam Bettan – “Michelle” (To be released on March 5) – 5.7%
- Sweden – To be chosen on March 7 – 5.6%
- France – To be revealed – 5.2%
- Cyprus – Antigoni – “Jalla” – 2.5%
- United Kingdom – Look Mum No Computer – “Eins, zwei, drei” (To be released on March 6) – 2.3%
- Malta – Aidan – “Bella” – 2.3%
- Italy – Sal Da Vinci – “Per sempre si” – 2.3%
- Ukraine – Leléka – “Ridnym” – 2.3%
- Armenia – To be revealed – 1.4%
- Luxembourg – Eva Marija – “Mother Nature” – 1.4%
- Bulgaria – DARA – “Bangaranga” – 1.4%
- Norway – Jonas Lovv – “Ya Ya Ya” – 1.4%
- Switzerland – Veronica Fusaro – Song to be revealed – 1.2%
- Croatia – Lelek – “Andromeda” – 1.1%
- Latvia – Atvara – “Ēnā” – 1.1%
- Czechia – To be revealed March 8 – 1.0%
- Serbia – Lavina – “Kraj mene” – 1.0%
- Germany – Sarah Engels – “Fire” – 1%
- Romania – Selects on March 4 – 1%
- Georgia – Bzikebi – Song to be revealed – 1%
- Lithuania – Lion Ceecah – “Sólo quiero más” – 0.9%
- Azerbaijan – To be revealed – 0.9%
- Poland – To be chosen on March 7 – 0.8%
- Belgium – Essyla – “Dancing on the Ice” – 0.8%
- San Marino – To be chosen on March 6 – 0.8%
- Moldova – Satoshi – “Viva Moldova!” – 0.7%
- Portugal – To be chosen on March 7 – 0.6%
- Austria – Cosmó – “Tanzschien” – 0.5%
- Estonia – Vanilla Ninja – “Too Epic to Be True” – 0.4%
- Albania – Alis – “Nân” – 0.4%
- Montenegro – Tamara Živković – “Noza Zora” – 0.4%
Source: Eurovision World