China is not planning to invade Taiwan in 2027, according to an assessment from US intelligence agencies.
Instead, Beijing is seeking to gain control of the island without the use of force, the report has said.
The Annual Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community, which was published on Wednesday, said: “Chinese leaders do not currently plan to execute an invasion of Taiwan in 2027, nor do they have a fixed timeline for achieving unification.”
The report added that “despite the threat to use force”, China “prefers to achieve unification without the use of force”.
Donald Trump, who has delayed his trip to China that was set to take place at the end of this month, previously said that Xi Jinping had assured him that China would not invade Taiwan while he was in office.
However, China continues to step up its military aggression around Taiwan, carrying out daily grey-zone infringements – which are activities that fall short of the threshold of armed conflict – around the island as well as regular large-scale military exercises.
China has one of the world’s fastest-growing and largest militaries, with more troops, warships and fighter jets than the US. However, experts have said that the size of Beijing’s armed forces does not necessarily equal capability.
US is retiring ships and depleting its stockpiles against Iran so it is good that we have come to this conclusion.
ArugulaElectronic478 on
Anyone remember when Putin assured Macron he wouldn’t invade Ukraine? I remember.
WarriorsQQ on
Correct. They will in 2026
Mobile_Bad_577 on
Maybe this is true, maybe it isn’t, but you’ll have to forgive me if I don’t trust Trump to be honest about this.
One-Reflection-4826 on
sorry if i dont give a shit what this incompetent, authoritarian administration does or does not say.
Scomosuckseggs on
No, they are planning to do so in 2026, instead.
Ratnaprofitercina on
Steve Witkoff probably went to Beijing and they told him that.
somefella237 on
My default is not believing anything this clownshow administration says
ARCtheIsmaster on
The infamous 2027 date was never “when” China was assessed likely to invade, it was the year Xi had set as a modernization-milestone for the PLA to be capable of doing so.
ctfogo on
Sounds exactly like something a nation invading Taiwan in 2027 would want you to think
Jealous_Land9614 on
They will SMO it, instead?
justwalk1234 on
Maybe just keep it as [current year + 2] and gaslight us going forward?
RandonEnglishMun on
Didn’t China just arrests its top generals? Seems like they re gonna need some time before planning an invasion.
bukboab on
Chinese access to oil has been squeezed a little so probably not the best time to invade.
DefinitelyNotMeee on
The best time would be about three to four weeks from now, when the US stockpiles are sufficiently depleted.
But as everyone knows very well, China would very much prefer a peaceful rejoining with Taiwain. I like to use the following analogy: *to China, Taiwan is like a rebellious son who ran away from home. The parents are hurt by that, but they know that one day, he will come back to where he belongs.*
The United States needs “an enemy” as a justification for its insane military budget.
128-NotePolyVA on
To take Taiwan China must destroy it. And that is a sad truth. Everything that makes Taiwan what it is today is less important than the political and territorial ambitions of those in the Xi camp.
Lazy_Membership1849 on
Didn’t we hear that similar as saying Russia will not invade Ukraine in the week before the invasion starts?
I could be wrong but I wouldn’t held breath for this
18 Comments
**From The Telegraph:**
China is not planning to invade Taiwan in 2027, according to an assessment from US intelligence agencies.
Instead, Beijing is seeking to gain control of the island without the use of force, the report has said.
The Annual Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community, which was published on Wednesday, said: “Chinese leaders do not currently plan to execute an invasion of Taiwan in 2027, nor do they have a fixed timeline for achieving unification.”
The report added that “despite the threat to use force”, China “prefers to achieve unification without the use of force”.
Donald Trump, who has delayed his trip to China that was set to take place at the end of this month, previously said that Xi Jinping had assured him that China would not invade Taiwan while he was in office.
However, China continues to step up its military aggression around Taiwan, carrying out daily grey-zone infringements – which are activities that fall short of the threshold of armed conflict – around the island as well as regular large-scale military exercises.
China has one of the world’s fastest-growing and largest militaries, with more troops, warships and fighter jets than the US. However, experts have said that the size of Beijing’s armed forces does not necessarily equal capability.
**Read more here:** [https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/03/19/china-taiwan-invasion-2027-us-donald-trump-asia/?WT.mc_id=tmgoff_reddit_2027-us-donald-trump-asia/](https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/03/19/china-taiwan-invasion-2027-us-donald-trump-asia/?WT.mc_id=tmgoff_reddit_2027-us-donald-trump-asia/)
US is retiring ships and depleting its stockpiles against Iran so it is good that we have come to this conclusion.
Anyone remember when Putin assured Macron he wouldn’t invade Ukraine? I remember.
Correct. They will in 2026
Maybe this is true, maybe it isn’t, but you’ll have to forgive me if I don’t trust Trump to be honest about this.
sorry if i dont give a shit what this incompetent, authoritarian administration does or does not say.
No, they are planning to do so in 2026, instead.
Steve Witkoff probably went to Beijing and they told him that.
My default is not believing anything this clownshow administration says
The infamous 2027 date was never “when” China was assessed likely to invade, it was the year Xi had set as a modernization-milestone for the PLA to be capable of doing so.
Sounds exactly like something a nation invading Taiwan in 2027 would want you to think
They will SMO it, instead?
Maybe just keep it as [current year + 2] and gaslight us going forward?
Didn’t China just arrests its top generals? Seems like they re gonna need some time before planning an invasion.
Chinese access to oil has been squeezed a little so probably not the best time to invade.
The best time would be about three to four weeks from now, when the US stockpiles are sufficiently depleted.
But as everyone knows very well, China would very much prefer a peaceful rejoining with Taiwain. I like to use the following analogy: *to China, Taiwan is like a rebellious son who ran away from home. The parents are hurt by that, but they know that one day, he will come back to where he belongs.*
The United States needs “an enemy” as a justification for its insane military budget.
To take Taiwan China must destroy it. And that is a sad truth. Everything that makes Taiwan what it is today is less important than the political and territorial ambitions of those in the Xi camp.
Didn’t we hear that similar as saying Russia will not invade Ukraine in the week before the invasion starts?
I could be wrong but I wouldn’t held breath for this