Chris Vasile - Betting Analyst at Covers.com

Chris Vasile
• Betting Analyst

13+ years betting experience

Updated:
Mar 30, 2026 , 10:06 PM ET

• 4 min read

Expect this to be a tense fixture with plenty of attacking intent.

Photo By – Reuters Connect. Italy’s Moise Kean celebrates scoring their second goal.

Ninety minutes stand between Italy and their first World Cup appearance since 2014, and for some fans, the nerves have already arrived. 

For the Italians, a trip to Bosnia to take on a team with plenty of attacking intent will prove tricky, which is why my Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Italy predictions and free betting picks expect both teams to find the back of the net on Tuesday, March 31. 

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Italy picks and predictions

My Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Italy best bet: Both teams to score — Yes (+125 at Sports Interaction)

Bosnia have quietly been one of the more reliable attacking sides in this playoff cycle, scoring in 12 straight matches while seeing both teams hit the scoresheet in four of their last five.

That’s a concern for an Italy side heading on the road for a much tougher test than their matchup with Northern Ireland. Italy’s recent results have also leaned toward open games, with 13 of their last 17 clearing the 2.5-goal total. 

Bosnia bring legitimate firepower through Edin Dzeko, who remains in strong form, and with Italy unlikely to sit back, this matchup sets up well for goals at both ends.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on GoogleBosnia and Herzegovina vs Italy same-game parlay (SGP)

Both teams to score — Yes

Moise Kean 2+ shots on target

Federico Dimarco 1+ assist

Moise Kean led the Italians with six total shots vs. Northern Ireland, with three of them hitting the target. With Mateo Retegui looking out of sorts, he’ll be the first one pulled if the Italians need a shakeup up front. Kean will get his chances and trouble the Bosnia goalkeeper. 

As for Federico Dimarco, he looked out of sorts vs. Northern Ireland, but his whipping crosses should serve the Italians well against a smaller Bosnian backline.

When on, Dimarco provides plenty of attacking support out wide, and his crosses will prove to be the difference maker in this game. 

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Italy predicted lineups

Bosnia & Herzegovina (4-4-2): Vasilj, Dedic, Katic, Muharemovic, Kolasinac; Bajraktarevic, Sunjic, Hadziahmetovic, Memic; Dzeko, Demirovic

Italy (3-5-2): Donnarumma; Mancini, Bastoni, Calafiori; Politano, Barella, Locatelli, Tonali, Dimarco; Kean, Retegui

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Italy odds

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Italy
+525 Moneyline -182 +290 Draw +290 Over 2.5 (+115) Total Under 2.5 (-150)

Odds as of 3-30, courtesy of Sports Interaction.

How to watch Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Italy

Location Bilino Polje, Zenica, Bosnia Date Tuesday, March 31, 2026 Time 2:45 p.m. ET TV FS2 Weather Rain and snow mixture. 

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Italy key injuries

Bosnia & Herzegovina: No injuries to report. 
Italy: Chiesa (Out), Scamacca (Out). 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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