“We cannot afford to stop strikes on Russian oil refineries as long as the war continues” Kyrylo Budanov, Head of the Office of the President, Lieutenant General, interview to Ukrinform

**Translation:**

**1/2**

Anticipation of a large exchange for Easter, continued attacks on Russian infrastructure, and overcoming the political crisis in parliament – about this and more spoke Lieutenant General, Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine Kyrylo Budanov in a joint interview with correspondents of Ukrinform and Novyny.LIVE.

Why drones will not replace infantry, how the war in the Middle East helps the aggressor, and whether a meeting between Zelensky and Putin is possible for a “final point” in the war? Read in our article.

**US REPRESENTATIVES WILL COME TO UKRAINE IN A WEEK OR TWO**

**Halyna Ostapovets: — The main questions to you, of course, concern the negotiation process: you previously said that it is ongoing, it is not frozen. What stage is this process at now?**

— You basically answered this question yourself: it is ongoing, it is not frozen. It will continue. We hope and are waiting for the arrival of the American delegation – the President of Ukraine also announced this today in the official part of the event. So we hope for the best.

**Tetyana Kogutych: — The President at the Congress of Local and Regional Authorities said that members of the American delegation participating in the negotiation process are likely to come to Ukraine after Easter. This is such a Ukrainian way of defining a postponed time. Can you clarify what period is meant?**

— Yes, roughly a week after Easter. It is not long.

**H.O.: — It is clear that there are contacts with the Americans, but are there contacts with the Russians now?**

— There are.

**H.O.: — What are they about?**

— About the issues we are dealing with. At the same time, we all hope for an exchange soon. So this is also part of it. An exchange does not happen by itself. It has to be made.

**WE EXPECT AN EXCHANGE AT EASTER**

**T.K.: — Easter is also the time when Ukrainians expect good news regarding exchanges of Ukrainian prisoners of war held in Russia. We know that exchanges are never announced, but should we expect good news for this holiday?**

— We hope so. A day before or a day after, but it can be expected. We are all expecting it.

**T.K.: — Kyrylo Oleksandrovych, you are a member of the negotiation group – please tell us, in your opinion, is there a chance that they will be resumed in a trilateral format?**

— Yes.

**T.K.: — How big is that chance?**

— You understand that we cannot draw a final line, neither positive nor negative, without a personal meeting (of the leaders of the countries – ed.) – and the Russians understand this as well. Believe me, it will all still happen.

**T.K.: — Do you mean a meeting between Volodymyr Zelensky and Putin?**

— Leaders must ultimately make the final decision. Let’s hope for that.

**RUSSIANS CANNOT AFFORD TO COMPLAIN ABOUT OUR DEEP STRIKES**

**H.O.: — Our deep strikes are ongoing, we are striking Russian infrastructure daily – how do they affect the dynamics of the negotiation process? Do the Russians complain that there are too many of our strikes and therefore they supposedly cannot sign a peace agreement?**

— No, they do not complain. They simply cannot do that – because it would mean admitting weakness. But it does have an impact – and in their reports they constantly point this out. It is a problem. Just as their strikes are a problem for us.

**T.K.: — Regarding other negotiations, meaning the €90 billion tranche that we are all eagerly waiting for, which is currently blocked and also requires negotiations. What stage is this process at?**

— You understand that this is a matter of negotiations with many participants, not only with Hungary. That is all I will say about it, and the process is ongoing. It is a very difficult issue, extremely complex, but I think we will find a solution. Perhaps not an easy one – but we will find it.

**T.K.: — Can you at least hint in what direction this difficult solution may be?**

— While the negotiation process is ongoing – no. It would create conditions for its failure.

**T.K.: — Understood. Still, regarding this negotiation process and our neighbors blocking funding – is there a way to counter them? And who should have more influence now: our European partners or ourselves?**

— Well, you know, in my subjective opinion, our problems are first and foremost our problems. And therefore, if we do not work on them ourselves, I am far from thinking that someone else will do the job for us.

**THE WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST HAS PLAYED IN RUSSIA’S FAVOR**

**H.O.: — How has the war in the Middle East affected Russia’s ability to continue fighting against us?**

— It has played in their favor to some extent – you understand that as well, primarily due to the sharp rise in oil product prices. Certain legal entities, let’s call them that, have come out from under sanctions, which also added to their optimism, so to speak. And in general, the sharp rise in oil prices is a huge plus for them. Our strikes on their oil refineries, unfortunately, cannot match the scale of that price surge. But they do definitely affect Russia’s oil and gas sector.

**H.O.: — We are not going to stop them, as you said…**

— …We cannot afford to stop them as long as the war continues.

**I AM NOT A FAN OF THE IDEA THAT DRONES WILL WIN THE WAR FOR US**

**H.O.: — Russia suffers heavy personnel losses every month, we are approaching those 30–35 thousand, our strategic goal is 50,000 – how far are we from it now?**

— You just named the figure yourself.

**H.O.: — What do we need to achieve this goal – more drones?**

— You know, I am probably not a fan of the idea that drones will win this war for us. Sorry, without people wars are not won. Without people wars are lost – that happens. But to win without people – that does not happen.

**T.K.: — Regarding people and war: just yesterday in Zakarpattia everyone read the news about a soldier being beaten. A day or two before that we saw it in other regions. And a week or two before that as well… This is a bad trend for a country that, as you said, needs unity in order to withstand the war. How do you assess this?**

— That is why I spoke today at that meeting about unity. First, human stupidity has no limit and never will; second, there are real problems, mental problems in our society. Because on the one hand everyone says we must fight until victory – and on the other hand everyone avoids mobilization. And all this happens simultaneously. This is a huge problem. At the same time, it should be remembered that when a person evades mobilization (yes, you can say they justify it to themselves), there is also a human problem to keep in mind. These are our guys on the frontline, and they need to be replaced by someone. And they do not understand that there. And this will become another huge problem when the war ends and they return and start asking their neighbors who did not go. So to avoid that, everyone should express their civic position and not be afraid to fulfill their duty. Not everyone mobilized goes into assault units. There are those who serve in air defense or other specialties, logistics…

**T.K.: — There is room for maneuver overall.**

— Yes, there is room for maneuver. But simply being a draft dodger and then living in shame and wondering what you will tell your neighbor who returns from the war and asks where you were… What will you tell your children, your neighbor who comes back and says: “Who are you after this?”

**I HAVE SEEN UKRAINIAN UNITY THREE TIMES**

**T.K.: — In the first year of the full-scale war, unity was overwhelming. Where should we look for it now in the fifth year?**

— Within ourselves. I am saying that now we are in a negotiation process and will reach something. I repeat: it will either be a very good or a very bad option for us, but it does not matter. Even if it is a very good option – without unity we will not be able to implement any decision.

Unity – I have analyzed it personally – I have seen it seriously three times. The first time was in 1991, when the Soviet Union collapsed – there was unity in Ukraine. It was a huge challenge, but it existed. And it allowed decisions to be made.

**T.K.: — And the second time? Maidan?**

— The second time was in 2014. Maidan and the events after Maidan: the start of the war, Crimea, events in Donbas. At that time there were queues at recruitment offices, remember? And the third time was at the beginning of 2022, the same situation. There were no mobilization problems in the first period because the number of volunteers was much higher than the army could even process.

**T.K.: — But almost five years have passed and it is only declining.**

— We are now approaching a so-called trigger event again that will require unity from us. And unfortunately, if there is no unity, there may be a catastrophe. There were many cases when we approached such a trigger event and unity was absent. And this led to major problems. I will not give examples because it would be very sad, but if you analyze our recent history, you will quickly find all the answers.

You’re making a huge mistake to rely on Russia for oil to begin with. It’s not a reliable partner, even if you would be called an ally. Ask Iran.

As long as parts of the world continue to fund russia one way or another, Ukraine must work on defunding it.

Stop the first, maybe the second can stop*.

*Nope. Hammer them until they go home with their tails between their legs. It’s war, they started it, every possible target is legitimate for Ukraine to hit.

Nor should they – burn them all.