00:00 Speaker A

    That brings us to money printing today. A phrase almost everyone uses and few people explain.

    00:06 Speaker A

    Most modern money is created not by the Federal Reserve, but by commercial banks.

    00:11 Speaker A

    When a bank approves a mortgage, it generally does not take money from one customer’s account and hand it to another.

    00:17 Speaker A

    It creates a loan on one side of its balance sheet and a matching deposit in the borrower’s account.

    00:24 Speaker A

    New deposit money has entered the economy, as the principle is repaid, that money is destroyed.

    00:30 Speaker A

    Banks cannot do this without limits.

    00:32 Speaker A

    They need capital, funding and creditworthy borrowers.

    00:35 Speaker A

    They face regulation and central banks influence credit conditions.

    00:39 Speaker A

    But the important point remains, most money is born when someone goes into debt.

    00:45 Speaker A

    Central banks create a different form of money.

    00:48 Speaker A

    During quantitative easing, the Federal Reserve buys bonds and pays by creating bank reserves.

    00:53 Speaker A

    When it buys from a non-bank investor, the transaction can also create a commercial bank deposit.

    00:59 Speaker A

    Those reserves are not stacks of currency that banks mechanically lend to households 10 times over.

    01:05 Speaker A

    Banks do not lend reserves to consumers.

    01:07 Speaker A

    Their lending depends on capital, funding, borrow demand, risk, and profitability.

    01:13 Speaker A

    This helps explain why the response to 2008 did not immediately produce runaway consumer inflation.

    01:18 Speaker A

    The pandemic was different.

    01:20 Speaker A

    The Federal Reserve again created enormous liquidity, while Congress authorized fiscal support that reached households and businesses directly.

    01:28 Speaker A

    At the same time, lockdowns and supply disruptions reduced the economy’s ability to provide goods and services.

    01:35 Speaker A

    More purchasing power collided with constrained supply.

    01:38 Speaker A

    Inflation naturally followed.

    01:40 Speaker A

    Even here, they printed money so prices rose is incomplete.

    01:45 Speaker A

    Energy, supply chains, labor, and consumer behavior also mattered.

    01:49 Speaker A

    But fiscal transfers increased demand when production could not match it.

    01:54 Speaker A

    One Federal Reserve study estimated that American fiscal stimulus contributed roughly two and a half percentage points to excess inflation through February 2022.

    02:01 Speaker A

    The destination of newly created money matters.

    02:05 Speaker A

    The condition of the economy matters.

    02:07 Speaker A

    The credibility of the issuer matters.

    02:09 Speaker A

    Money supply matters, but it is not the only variable.

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