Putin unlikely to use nuclear weapons soon. Two main reasons

https://www.liga.net/en/all/opinion/putin-unlikely-to-use-nuclear-weapons-soon-two-main-reasons

21 Comments

  1. Russia is not in war. There for they cannot use Nuke weapons.

    Use of Nuke weapons will let others country’s view Russia as week. 
    That big mighty Russia cannot beat a smaller country with out use of Nuke weapons?

    Speciel because Russia is making some of the best military equipment in Russia and have some of the best soldiers in Russia.

  2. PoliticalCanvas on

    Russian elites consist of former soviet poorly educated (because of censorship and propaganda), near-criminal, hierarchy-thinking people, therefore very unprofessional. That could do everything at all only by compensating own incompetence by hundreds of billions of dollars of rental (raw resources) profit per year.

    Now the main source of such “incompetence compensations” – China and India economics.

    Therefore, Russia will use nukes only if China and India will demonstrate that “use of WMD it’s not a big deal.” Which they will not demonstrate because right now, because of the accelerating technological progress, all countries of the World, including tens of China and India neighbors, are rapidly improving technologies that can be used in WMD-creation.

    IMHO, right not for Ukraine very profitable so that Russia used nukes. It allows for millions of Ukrainians to move from the current slaughter by 4 nuclear states, with economic help of 3+ nuclear states, to creation of own WMD. At least, as shown 2008-2024 years, one and only real security guarantee.

    ​

    Look at such risk from the position of Game Theory and Moldova:

    1. Russia has nukes, but not use them = Russia could kill almost all Moldavian, but that all (except ability to use WMD-blackmail/racketeering).
    2. Russia use nukes to kill all Moldavian = Moldavian (and other Russian enemies like 3-5 million Circassians) automatically (in context of future decades and scientific wonders) get opportunity to kill almost all Russians = “by numbers” Moldovan cause greater damage and win.

  3. A third reason is he doesn’t want the rest of the world to see that his nuclear missiles are poorly maintained and probably non functional

  4. I think he’s old and a sore loser. If things go super sideways, I could see him launching nukes out of sheer pettiness: “If I can’t win no one will!”

    This is why it is paramount to remove him from office ASAP and bring him to The Hague.

  5. Smart_Werewolf5561 on

    Seeing state if his 2nd army in the world, I highly doubt any of their nukes are functioning

  6. Straight-Storage2587 on

    Number one: Even if Putin survives, he would not be King of anything but the remains of his bunker.

  7. They would resume ballistic missile testing and above-ground testing first, in order to avoid an embarrassment.  The flip side is that will give the world a strong signal of what he’s about to do.

    Hopefully that strong signal wouldn’t be hand-waved and ignored like in 2022.

  8. >Putin unlikely to use nuclear weapons soon. Two main reasons

    Well doesn’t that just make me feel warm and fuzzy…….

  9. Russia cannot use nuclear weapons. I’ve said this before and I’ll say it again – there is no scenario is which nukes help them.

    here are the three outcomes

    1. Putin orders a launch – the generals refuse, putin dies

    2. Putin orders a launch – the generals launch, the nuke fizzles, putin dies.

    3. Putin orders a launch – the generals launch the nuke works. NATO removes every russian outside russia and china drop their support. Putin may not die but russia is fucked.

  10. Putin won’t use nukes, simply because they solve zero issues and only creates bigger problems for him.

  11. I suspect the West has told them that if they launch a nuke the gloves will really come off. Then pootin will finally get his 3 day war & it won’t be good for him!

  12. Putin won’t use nukes.. he wants to live . Plus Russia’s only other major ally China , would cut ties.