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  1. Will it fail in the same way the anti-Constellation plan failed? Last time I checked SLS has survived 13 years (with at least 2 years guaranteed to go) since it was cancelled.

  2. Of course it will fail. Any hope of a workable plan went right out the door the moment this kleptocratic administration was given the keys. The only policy goals they can make good on are destruction and intimidation.

  3. Pretty obvious really. Once again US space ‘ambitions’ are being reset, all progress toward the current goals (what there has been) is being thrown away, NASA will have to spend the net 20 years working out how to do the new thing, the political winds will change and everything Trump thinks he is doing will be thrown away. The future of US space flight just become doing test flights in orbit, as it has been since the end of Apollo.

    Even true of SpaceX. Getting to the point of having a test vehicle fuelled and launched once will take decades, especially as the refuellings estimate keeps rising and the launch rate keeps falling. Musk is 53, he’ll be 80 at best by the time they are building a small research outpost.