If you tend towards conspiracy theory-type thinking, you might wonder if the Chinese government is directing its AI sector to use open-source AI to undermine US AI efforts. If they aren't, is it just a coincidence that this is what is happening?
Two things seem inevitable to me if the trend of Chinese open-source AI equalling Western efforts keeps up. A) – It will eventually bankrupt the Western AI companies and their investors, as the hundreds of billions poured into them will never be realized in profits. B) The 21st century will be built on Chinese AI, as it will be what most of the world uses.
The former seems more dramatic in the short term, but the latter is what will be more significant in the long term.
Moonshot AI just released Kimi K2: China is not so behind in Agentic AI either it would seem.
Yet again, a free open-source Chinese AI has beaten all the investor-funded favorites like OpenAI, Anthropic, Grok, etc.
byu/lughnasadh inFuturology
3 Comments
I feel like it’s closer to B) than A) personally. Thinking about any of the big 3 going bankrupt seems insane to me. But a rival w/a huge user base making their offering free and open-source is a great way to get a lot of folks using and improving your products.
It’s definitely part of it. Not only can it hurt AI companies but other as many others offer services that can be replaced by agentic ai, open source models can under mine large sectors. That dystopian future with no jobs but corporate owned ai. China would like it not be be American controlled. If they make it so anyone most companies die, they have a better shot.
To keep it simple, it’s a healthy thing not a bad thing, and those billions they are pumping into Stargate will likely bring about models that eclipse any current model (who knows maybe it’ll be emergent AGI). The US is shooting for the moon on scaling.