Source: Turkish Statistical Institute

https://x.com/i/status/2005590015720452594

Türkiye’s fertility rates have collapsed from a 2.1 average in 2009 to just 1.36 in 2025. The main reason is economic, rising living costs, unstable jobs, expensive housing and childcare, and declining real incomes. Across the country, young adults have postponed marriage and have had fewer children.

Provincial differences mainly reflects demographic composition. Southeastern provinces with larger Kurdish and Arab populations have historically shown higher fertility than the more urban, Turkish majority west.

The highest fertility province, Şanlıurfa, has a mixed population roughly 40–45% Kurdish, 25–30% Arab, and 15–20% Turkish and has traditionally had larger families. Yet even Şanlıurfa’s fertility has fallen sharply under economic pressure.

Major cities have also seen dramatic declines, Istanbul has fallen from 1.77 to 1.08, Ankara from 1.68 to 1.06, and Izmir from 1.57 to 1.06, due to the combined effects of high living costs and urban lifestyle pressures.

Posted by Accomplished_Gur4368

5 Comments

  1. existentialgoof on

    As an antinatalist, this is pretty great news if this is happening even in a Muslim majority country.

  2. This is just an approximate GDP graph right?

    Wealthy, highly educated people prioritize their careers over children so they have less children, later in life.