9 Comments

  1. JamestotheJam on

    Just give it a rest. No one is buying any dip. Remember what happened last year? Every year there is at least one big crash. This. is. not. it. (Yet)

  2. 2012 halving, 2013 post-halving peak, 2014 bottom
    2016 halving, 2017 post-halving peak, 2018 bottom
    2020 halving, 2021 post-halving peak, 2022 bottom
    2024 halving, 2025 post-halving peak, 2026 bottom

    Bitcoin peaks about 18 months after each halving. April 2024 was the last bitcoin halving and October 2025 (18 months later) was bitcoin’s $126k peak.
    Bitcoin bottoms about a year after its post-halving peak, and 35 months from that bottom is the next post-halving peak (4 years from previous peak).

    There’s a decorrelation between bitcoin and M2 Money Supply (liquidity cycle) as bitcoin tops. We’ve been decorrelated since October, a phenomenon which happens every 4 years. And even with ISM being in the basement – guess what – bitcoin still peaked exactly when it was supposed to, to the day.