South Korean authorities have launched an investigation into allegations by North Korea that drones violated its airspace, with a particular focus on whether civilians may have been responsible. The Defence Ministry said the probe follows accusations from Pyongyang that unmanned aircraft crossed the border, an incident that risks adding fresh strain to already fragile inter-Korean relations.

President Lee Jae Myung ordered a swift inquiry, warning that if civilians were found to have flown the drones, it would constitute a serious crime threatening South Korea’s security and peace on the Korean peninsula. The case comes amid repeated efforts by Lee’s administration to lower tensions and reopen dialogue with the North, initiatives that have so far gone unanswered by Pyongyang.

Conflicting Claims and Official Responses
North Korea’s military accused the South of deliberate provocation, saying it had shot down the drones and released what it described as wreckage and aerial photographs taken during the flights. South Korea’s military denied any involvement, stating that it neither operates the drone model shown by the North nor flew any drones on the date cited. Seoul stressed it had no intention of provoking its neighbour.

Defence officials said South Korea would be willing to conduct a joint investigation with North Korea, though no formal proposal has been made. The lack of response from Pyongyang to earlier outreach efforts highlights the difficulty of cooperation even on confidence-building measures.

Wider Political Context
The incident unfolds against a backdrop of heightened sensitivity over military actions and provocations. Tensions between the two Koreas flare up frequently, and mistrust remains deep. Adding to the charged atmosphere, former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol appeared in court on Monday, accused of attempting to provoke North Korea in 2024 as a pretext for declaring martial law. He is also facing a separate insurrection trial linked to that attempt.

Analysis
The drone allegations illustrate how easily relatively small incidents can escalate on the Korean peninsula, particularly when intent is disputed and communication channels are weak. Even if civilians were responsible, Pyongyang is likely to frame the episode as state-backed provocation, reinforcing its long-standing narrative of hostility from the South.

For President Lee, the investigation is a delicate balancing act. A transparent probe could help demonstrate restraint and responsibility, but it may do little to reassure North Korea if distrust remains entrenched. Without restored dialogue mechanisms, similar incidents risk becoming flashpoints that magnify tensions far beyond their original scale.

With information from Reuters.

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