
A national research institute has estimated that foreigners will account for 10.8 percent of Japan's population by 2070. But an analysis of Basic Resident Register data shows the shift is already well under way at the local level. As of January 2025, 27 municipalities had foreign resident ratios above 10 percent, led by the village of Shimukappu in Hokkaido at 36.6.
https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260113/p2g/00m/0na/031000c

12 Comments
Year 2070? It’s still 2026. With companies going bankrupt because of labor shortage, can expect more foreigners.
Such news will definitly fuel some anti japanese parties.
Is Japan even going to exist the way we know it now in the next 50 years, all signs point to no.
It’ll be ripped piece by piece by other more successful countries in business and land mergers until the yen will be just a memory.
It’s already at 10% among people in their twenties. It will reach 20% in several years at this rate.
> 27 municipalities had foreign resident ratios above 10 percent
There are 1,718 municipalities in Japan.
As of June 2025 the actual foreign population is 3.2%.
This is a pointless clickbait article.
The sad slogan “work work work” really should change to “intercourse intercourse intercourse.”
Wait, didn’t they also forecast there will be 0% natives left by 2070, which would mean foreigners will be 100%?
I would estimate that 2050 to 2060 is more realistic. Also foreigners who come here and stay long term might choose naturalization and therefore not be part of this statistic any longer. But with the declining yen, Japan loses its attractiveness for foreigners, especially for the ones coming from medium to high income countries.
But most of them are east asians that look like Japanese people and even use Japanese names. . . I dont think it. Will be not a big deal. No guarantee Japan will be like Europe
They will need them. And if they will not be Chinese, then Indian and Pakistani. But for sure not westerns 😅
>But an analysis of Basic Resident Register data shows the shift is already well under way at the local level. As of January 2025, 27 municipalities had foreign resident ratios above 10 percent, led by the village of Shimukappu in Hokkaido at 36.6.
That… doesn’t mean shit?
How local do you wanna go? If you go super local and zoom into the apartment of a single household, you might find it’s 100% Canadian.
The headline is an outright lie. Nobody has ever suggested that there would ever be perfectly uniform distribution.
The issue isn’t the percentage of foreign residents.
The real issue is that Japan has left entire industries to rot.
Instead of improving working conditions, wages, hours, safety, and dignity, the country simply relies on foreigners to fill the jobs that Japanese people refuse to take.
That isn’t ‘diversity.’
That’s outsourcing exploitation.
If a job is so terrible that citizens won’t do it, why is it acceptable to dump that burden onto people from overseas?
Why doesn’t anyone see how deeply disrespectful that is?