Where the Conservative Party and Pierre Poilievre Stand in Public Opinion – Abacus Data
Where the Conservative Party and Pierre Poilievre Stand in Public Opinion
Where the Conservative Party and Pierre Poilievre Stand in Public Opinion – Abacus Data
Where the Conservative Party and Pierre Poilievre Stand in Public Opinion
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I’m going to be looking forward to the next Abacus data report on this, because the data will have been collected after Carney’s speech and closer to Poilievre’s leadership review.
Another finding from the polling: 48% of voters disapprove of PP and 35% approve. The largest gap in years. Bye bye Pierre?
The graph that shows voter intention as compared to educational attainment is interesting. It shows to me that the liberal messaging is missing the mark with people with lower education levels, and the conservatives are able to capitalize on it.
It would be a complex question and answer, but I wonder how many people in the base are there because they are aware of and dedicated to small-c conservative principles? Having worked with pretty much all the major political parties, IMHO, there are a lot of people joining political parties for other reasons than their principles. I have seen, in all parties, many, many people who used to belong to the opposing political party, but something happened there that they took as a personal affront so they joined the other team, I’ve seen young people who see joining the “other side” as a form of rebellion, there many people who are a part of a political party due to their parents being a part of that political party, and there are also many who just want to “stick it in the eye” of the other side (for whatever reason). It sometimes seems political principles are almost an after thought in all of Canada’s political parties.
The Toronto Star did an article about this yesterday. What’s alarming to me is that what was reported in the paper that isn’t in this report is that something like 60% of the respondents (I dont remember exactly how it was worded) would rather the Conservatives stand by and defend their core principles then adjust to make winning an election easier. Â
I was very critical on how what they were doing made them an easy target for criticism, but apparently thats exactly what the base wants.
So if you are wondering why they don’t “pivot” its because the base/respondents don’t want that.
The party is pretty much in split on everything, the unifying factor pretty much was their anger against Trudeau.
It would be a very hard party to manage.
The good thing for the Liberals is that the priority isn’t on winning.
The problem they have now is that everything that brought them success is tied to Trump and America. That might have been okay when they were trying to creep toward 40% against an unpopular incumbent but things have changed.
The country is under threat from those people and the CPC can’t recover with this leader, time to move on, but I think they will take him into the next election and likely get a similar result.
I don’t say *all* Conservative beliefs are Trumpist, because they clearly aren’t and there are plenty of patriots in the party. I don’t even think Poilievre himself is anything but a loyal Canadian. But the part of the doctrine that Poilievre excels in espousing is feels and sounds like MAGA.
What’s crazy to think is that if they had stuck with O’Toole they would probably have formed government after that blackface fiasco. Imagine they had an ex-soldier entering his third term with balanced rhetoric that was intended to appeal across a broad scope. It’s basically impossible to imagine Poilievre cooperating with another party. He and his people *hate* too many of their fellow Canadians.
Instead they went with Scheer and followed it up with Mega-Scheer.