A Snapchat story meant for 47 close friends accidentally exposed one of the strangest and most consistently profitable strategies on Polymarket: betting on how many times Elon Musk tweets in a week.

Someone posted their Polymarket winnings to Snapchat close friends last week, casually mentioning they had just made $19,000. One of those 47 people took a screenshot and posted it to Twitter. Within six hours it had 340,000 views. The wallet address was visible in the corner of the original image, and what it revealed stopped people mid-scroll.

The trader, tracked under the username Prexpect, had made $118,754 in profit across 1,943 predictions since joining Polymarket in November 2024. Every single bet was on the same market: how many times will Elon Musk tweet this week.

https://coinedition.com/polymarket-trader-turned-elon-musks-twitter-habit-into-a-118000-income-stream/

7 Comments

  1. coinfeeds-bot on

    tldr; A Polymarket trader, known as Prexpect, has earned $118,754 by betting on Elon Musk’s weekly tweet activity. Using a real-time tracker to monitor Musk’s tweets, the trader predicts tweet volumes before market prices adjust. The strategy gained attention after a Snapchat post revealed the trader’s profits, leading to widespread interest. Despite the exposure, the trader continues to place bets successfully, leveraging Musk’s predictable tweeting patterns to maintain profitability.

    *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

  2. The next person will reveal how much he made on predicting Elon’s weekly poops.

  3. These types of bets should absolutely be illegal.

    If a single person or group of coordinated people can 100% determine the outcome – it’s not a random/chance event which should be the requirement.

  4. Polymarket needs to be shut down. You can bet on wars, world politics, etc. They have traced a handful of wallets already and their trading history heavily implies insider knowledge.