Oh no. Dont let the great replacement idiots get ahold of this.
Edit: seems they have in fact, gotten ahold of this
BrettHullsBurner on
Europe going from 550M people in 1950 to 745M people today (36% increase), yet its births dropping from 12M to 6M (50% decrease) is pretty wild.
wndtrbn on
The child mortality rate is also 50 times higher. That’s not an exaggeration, you’re 50 times more likely to die before you’re 5 years old in Nigeria compared to Europe.
will_dormer on
life in nigeria must be wonderful since they want to have children and can afford it unlike us in europe
Smithy2232 on
This is not a feel good story.
CosminMotroc on
In the period from 2000 to 2010 the european birth rate grew by a milion, accually quite impressive. Too bad the 2009 crash ruined europe, first economically then socially.
Esilai on
This is the kind of data that is relevant when discussions of declining birthrates in developed nations come up. When humans feel safe, secure, and have access to contraception, they just don’t have kids at replacement rates. You can provide free child care, universal basic income, child tax incentives, it doesn’t matter. Humans have a ton of kids when they are overworked, impoverished, and don’t have good access to medical care. Nigeria will get there too one day. Either we become ok with slow, voluntary extinction or we find another solution. Not crazy to imagine a future where people are artificially conceived, in artificial wombs, and mass raised by the government as society needs them.
hbarSquared on
Every wealthy nation has seen declining birth rates, regardless of culture or economic pressure – the Nordics have phenomenal financial and social support for parents, and still have one of the lowest birth rates in Europe. As countries like Nigeria become more prosperous, the same thing will happen.
They have the benefit of watching the most established countries struggle with how to pay for their birth peak populations (e.g. boomers), and they have the opportunity to put in place more resilient systems for the inevitable decline. On the other hand, the last countries to “wealth up” won’t have immigration as a backstop to smooth out the growth curve.
LordPraetorian on
This is going to end well
MrGreen140 on
It is also important to note that Nigeria has a population of around 230 million. However even with that in mind, it is still surprising and highlights one of Europes current core demographic problems.
Monsjoex on
nigeria birth data is widely inaccurate.
ReleaseTheSheast on
I really appreciate this reversal of comparing an entire continent to a single country in Africa since people always seem to want to talk about Africa like it’s one country.
BlueBunny333 on
Extreme child mortality, poverty and being a third world country contributes to the factor that this is not positive news.
In macabre terms: they are mass producing “poor” people. Yes, those who also come to europe for a better life.
Unless Nigeria improves, their problems will become our problems more and more.
Kriss3d on
It does make sense.
Far worse access to condoms.
Far higher child mortality rate.
Dependency of children to support the parents.
So of course they would want as many kids as they can get.
mikadzan on
I read Brit’s to many times and gone to comments and everyone was talking about not moving to Nigeria
Sauce666 on
They will all be in Europe soon enough, nothing to worry about…
AsleepNinja on
Great healthcare too, basically no infant mortality or people dying from easily treatable diseases.
Oh wait.
NoggleStolemyBike on
“yOu’Re NOT bEEiNG rEpLAcED!”
Extreme_Barracuda658 on
Now show a chart that shows infant deaths
101Phase on
Someone please correct me if I’m wrong but I remember reading somewhere that even in Africa, they’ve already observed the phenomenon that as development rises, birth rates starts falling
kiptheboss on
Nigeria must have great healthcare, free child care, basic universal income, long parental leave, etc. /s
aLonelyClone on
Please no one show this to the Great Replacement crowd
AdventurousClassic19 on
Data can be both beautiful and scary at the same time. This is going to hit hard in a decade or two.
Bonamikengue on
Nigeria is overpopulared already now. And it continues. But exactly this happens if you do not have a social security system – so everyone is pushed to have as many kids as possible so at least some survive to keep care of someone when getting old.
What happens long term is overpopulation, food scarcity, war, 90% dead, and it rebegins.
I prefer the European way.
stompinstinker on
Is this true? A Nigerian checked in on a similar post and said it’s from regional politicians fudging birth numbers because their funding depends on population, and the federal government just looks the other way on it.
UtterlyInsane on
I’m sure this will be a super normal comment section
krneki534 on
This will work fantastic for Nigeria right? … right?
Wip3out__ on
*clears throat* also higher poverty
NoImprovement3231 on
I read somewhere that population statistics from Nigeria are incredibly unreliable and most likely inflated by a lot.
AlbertDerAlberne on
Soo…Soon they’ll hsve more people.
Unless many of them die and migration does its thing. So maybe nlt
ninjamikec82 on
so i expect more emails from royalty in the future?
The mortality comparison is stark – 105 per thousand is roughly one in ten children not surviving to age five. That’s not just a statistic, it’s the kind of data point that fundamentally shapes how any society thinks about public investment, family planning, and long-term security.
What’s interesting though is how these numbers rarely translate into actual policy shifts until they hit crisis levels. The chart itself is doing the work of making the gap visible, but the real question is why it takes demographic data of this magnitude to generate concern.
Torrello on
6 billion Africans by the end of the century, apparently.
rsint on
And there all coming over to Europe…
MDTv_Teka on
So, the population in most Western countries will absolutely collapse in the near future right?
Affectionate_Walk610 on
And in 18 years they all gonna buy chinese cars instead of european ones.
bofeenaun on
Is this because of the Ozoro festival
Foxintoxx on
Having rape festivals is really a game chabger apparently .
mVargic on
Even more striking is that all of China had about the same amount of births in 2025 than Nigeria. 7.92 million for China vs 7.6 million for Nigeria, the lowest since the early Qing dynasty.
45 Comments
Data source: [Births per Year (OWID)](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/number-of-births-per-year?time=earliest..2023&country=NGA~UNM49_EUR)
Tools used: Matplotlib & Nano Banana
It happened in **2019**, but yes.
Oh no. Dont let the great replacement idiots get ahold of this.
Edit: seems they have in fact, gotten ahold of this
Europe going from 550M people in 1950 to 745M people today (36% increase), yet its births dropping from 12M to 6M (50% decrease) is pretty wild.
The child mortality rate is also 50 times higher. That’s not an exaggeration, you’re 50 times more likely to die before you’re 5 years old in Nigeria compared to Europe.
life in nigeria must be wonderful since they want to have children and can afford it unlike us in europe
This is not a feel good story.
In the period from 2000 to 2010 the european birth rate grew by a milion, accually quite impressive. Too bad the 2009 crash ruined europe, first economically then socially.
This is the kind of data that is relevant when discussions of declining birthrates in developed nations come up. When humans feel safe, secure, and have access to contraception, they just don’t have kids at replacement rates. You can provide free child care, universal basic income, child tax incentives, it doesn’t matter. Humans have a ton of kids when they are overworked, impoverished, and don’t have good access to medical care. Nigeria will get there too one day. Either we become ok with slow, voluntary extinction or we find another solution. Not crazy to imagine a future where people are artificially conceived, in artificial wombs, and mass raised by the government as society needs them.
Every wealthy nation has seen declining birth rates, regardless of culture or economic pressure – the Nordics have phenomenal financial and social support for parents, and still have one of the lowest birth rates in Europe. As countries like Nigeria become more prosperous, the same thing will happen.
They have the benefit of watching the most established countries struggle with how to pay for their birth peak populations (e.g. boomers), and they have the opportunity to put in place more resilient systems for the inevitable decline. On the other hand, the last countries to “wealth up” won’t have immigration as a backstop to smooth out the growth curve.
This is going to end well
It is also important to note that Nigeria has a population of around 230 million. However even with that in mind, it is still surprising and highlights one of Europes current core demographic problems.
nigeria birth data is widely inaccurate.
I really appreciate this reversal of comparing an entire continent to a single country in Africa since people always seem to want to talk about Africa like it’s one country.
Extreme child mortality, poverty and being a third world country contributes to the factor that this is not positive news.
In macabre terms: they are mass producing “poor” people. Yes, those who also come to europe for a better life.
Unless Nigeria improves, their problems will become our problems more and more.
It does make sense.
Far worse access to condoms.
Far higher child mortality rate.
Dependency of children to support the parents.
So of course they would want as many kids as they can get.
I read Brit’s to many times and gone to comments and everyone was talking about not moving to Nigeria
They will all be in Europe soon enough, nothing to worry about…
Great healthcare too, basically no infant mortality or people dying from easily treatable diseases.
Oh wait.
“yOu’Re NOT bEEiNG rEpLAcED!”
Now show a chart that shows infant deaths
Someone please correct me if I’m wrong but I remember reading somewhere that even in Africa, they’ve already observed the phenomenon that as development rises, birth rates starts falling
Nigeria must have great healthcare, free child care, basic universal income, long parental leave, etc. /s
Please no one show this to the Great Replacement crowd
Data can be both beautiful and scary at the same time. This is going to hit hard in a decade or two.
Nigeria is overpopulared already now. And it continues. But exactly this happens if you do not have a social security system – so everyone is pushed to have as many kids as possible so at least some survive to keep care of someone when getting old.
What happens long term is overpopulation, food scarcity, war, 90% dead, and it rebegins.
I prefer the European way.
Is this true? A Nigerian checked in on a similar post and said it’s from regional politicians fudging birth numbers because their funding depends on population, and the federal government just looks the other way on it.
I’m sure this will be a super normal comment section
This will work fantastic for Nigeria right? … right?
*clears throat* also higher poverty
I read somewhere that population statistics from Nigeria are incredibly unreliable and most likely inflated by a lot.
Soo…Soon they’ll hsve more people.
Unless many of them die and migration does its thing. So maybe nlt
so i expect more emails from royalty in the future?
Future infrastructure is in Africa
Worth noting that Nigeria’s fertility rate has been steadily declining since 1980. https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/nigeria-population/
The mortality comparison is stark – 105 per thousand is roughly one in ten children not surviving to age five. That’s not just a statistic, it’s the kind of data point that fundamentally shapes how any society thinks about public investment, family planning, and long-term security.
What’s interesting though is how these numbers rarely translate into actual policy shifts until they hit crisis levels. The chart itself is doing the work of making the gap visible, but the real question is why it takes demographic data of this magnitude to generate concern.
6 billion Africans by the end of the century, apparently.
And there all coming over to Europe…
So, the population in most Western countries will absolutely collapse in the near future right?
And in 18 years they all gonna buy chinese cars instead of european ones.
Is this because of the Ozoro festival
Having rape festivals is really a game chabger apparently .
Even more striking is that all of China had about the same amount of births in 2025 than Nigeria. 7.92 million for China vs 7.6 million for Nigeria, the lowest since the early Qing dynasty.
Pay us more, we will have children i promise
import all of them to europe immediately!