
Scatter plot of earnings-related prediction markets. Each point is a public company with an upcoming earnings call. ($). Y-axis: Probability of beating their earnings expectation (%). X-axis: Liquidity. Liquidity is the amount of money currently in a market. Higher liquidity usually makes the market's probability more trustworthy, like a larger sample size. Low-liquidity markets can be noisier and more volatile.
Posted by BadBoyBrando
![[OC] Probabilities of Companies wiht Upcoming Earning Calls Beating Earning Expectations [OC] Probabilities of Companies wiht Upcoming Earning Calls Beating Earning Expectations](https://www.byteseu.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/26fccmcg9hsg1-1024x537.png)
2 Comments
Data Source: Polymarket API
Tools: Cursor, React (i think), ~vibecoded~
Very cool. You should do one of these every week! $$$