Anthropic: Scenarios for our Economic Future

While our [Economic Index](https://www.anthropic.com/economic-index) measures how AI is being used across the economy right now, this scenario explorer is about looking ahead.

Based on our technical report, [Economic Scenarios for Transformative AI](https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/files/4zrzovbb/website/cf58f84d46a4a76bf5a5b039ac695fba6b80041c.pdf) this explorer gives you a chance to find out what the economy might look like as AI continues to get more capable.

In scenarios ranging from business as usual to an economy where AI increases growth to about twice the normal rate, unemployment stays within the historical range and wages remain flat or rise depending on the industry.

But in scenarios where growth is faster than anything in economic history, there are adverse impacts on wages and job prospects for knowledge workers. In those scenarios, society is far wealthier, so the challenge is making sure that the gains are broadly shared.

so if it all comes down to economic gains and only 1% of the country benefit from those economic gains, costs are not reduces but a select few siphon off those gains, how exactly does that help the population and general economy? no one is claiming there aren’t huge returns on capital now in almost every field.