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    Solutions to China’s birth rate problem don’t lie in Japan’s playbook - Japan’s expensive, inefficient approach will not get China back on the right track, and neither will the coercion of the one-child policy
    Futurology

    Solutions to China’s birth rate problem don’t lie in Japan’s playbook – Japan’s expensive, inefficient approach will not get China back on the right track, and neither will the coercion of the one-child policy


    Solutions to China’s birth rate problem don’t lie in Japan’s playbook – Japan’s expensive, inefficient approach will not get China back on the right track, and neither will the coercion of the one-child policy

    https://www.scmp.com/opinion/china-opinion/article/3271573/solutions-chinas-birth-rate-problem-dont-lie-japans-playbook

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    4 Comments

    1. Gari_305 on

      From the article

      >The number of [first marriages](https://www.scmp.com/economy/economic-indicators/article/3267061/china-marriages-fall-norm-first-quarter-after-active-2023-threatening-productivity-population-ages?module=inline&pgtype=article) in China fell from 23.9 million in 2013 to 10.5 million in 2022, another trend that is likely to continue. Meanwhile, according to my own estimates, the number of women aged 20-34 fell from 149 million in 2012 to 119 million in 2023 and will further decline to 81 million in 2040.

      Also from the article

      >[Debt-ridden local governments](https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3269336/chinas-localities-need-debt-relief-academic-says-backing-treasury-bonds-ease-burdens?module=inline&pgtype=article) will struggle to simply encourage childbirth, let alone force it. Some local governments might attempt to introduce mandatory measures to increase births, but these will only backfire and meet public resistance.

      >Low fertility and population ageing are global crises, and many countries urgently need to explore solutions. If China can achieve some success without violating people’s human rights, the international community should encourage it.

    2. RealisticBarnacle115 on

      “In fact, the Japanese government has already done what China’s government intends to do. Japan’s approach has proved expensive and inefficient, temporarily boosting the total fertility rate – the number of births expected in a woman’s reproductive lifetime – from 1.26 births per woman in 2005 to 1.45 in 2015 before it slid back down to 1.2 in 2023.”

      How poor our country is lmao

    3. boubou666 on

      “some local governments might introduce mandatory measures to increase birthrate” how? Force man to introduce the penis? What the hell

    4. EnigmaticDoom on

      China is **done**. The only thing to do is run if you live there or save up money for aid if you don’t live there.