is it extinction level? I thought it was a pretty small one
Deadmanx132489 on
Dear god let that that percentage be wrong and its a higher chance.
Abdul_Exhaust on
Oh yes, deliver me into a disaster that humans did not create!
[deleted] on
[removed]
photoinebriation on
I feel like we could all benefit from a lil existential threat right now
drivelhead on
Let me just fix that headline:
“Asteroid is like all the others and isn’t going to hit Earth”
scrffynrfhrdr on
My wife gave birth to my first child last year. I picked a really bad time to start caring about the future.
ALA02 on
Here come totally original comments “oh those odds are too short”, “good, humanity was a mistake”, etc. Same thing, every time something like this is posted
SweetWolfgang on
Ben Affleck has some thoughts on this statistic
oskanta on
Since 90% of the commenters can’t be bothered to read the article, here’s the size:
> First spotted last month by a telescope in Chile, the near-Earth asteroid — designated 2024 YR4 — is estimated to be 130 to 330 feet (40 to 100 metres) across.
For reference, the Tunguska event asteroid was about 50-60m.
Thoracic_Snark on
I’m ready with my little Wile E. Coyote umbrella.
pianistafj on
Damn. That means we’re gonna have to see Mahommes win 7 more Super Bowls. I might be rooting for the asteroid at that point.
Quick_Interaction608 on
Oh okay, this is definitely going to happen then. These days I simply ask myself, “what’s the worst thing that could possibly happen” and assume that it will, hasn’t failed me in a while
fenderampeg on
Ya know, everyone is joking here but a 1% chance is still a chance. We really need to work on our detection and mitigation strategies for these things.
I mean, it’s gonna happen at some point right?
justaguytrying2getby on
Interesting, I don’t think I’ve ever seen one listed with a Torino Scale of 3 before
BiggieTwiggy1two3 on
From the article: “Earth gets clobbered by an asteroid this size every few thousand years, according to ESA, with the potential for severe damage. That is why this one now tops ESA’s asteroid risk list.”
iwishihadnobones on
*The asteroid came closest to Earth on Christmas Day — passing within roughly 500,000 miles (800,000km) of Earth, about twice the distance to the moon. It was discovered two days later.*
It is concerning that it was this close to us and we didn’t even notice until two days after the fact. We are basically flying blind here
wombatshit on
Could we all run to one side of the continent or something to steer into it?
Scrubface on
If I die at 42 (the answer to the meaning of life, the universe, and all things) during a “don’t look up” kind of scenario…We all live in a simulation…and it’s fucked.
nopoonintended on
1/100 seems really high to be honest for a chance of leveling a whole city / filling out atmosphere with the elements etc best case it just lands in the ocean no?
Petdogdavid1 on
You know, after reading that headline… Just don’t fucking tell me about it. Make it a surprise.
Grunblau on
Just in time for me to not receive Social Security. Amazing how things work out sometimes…
bagsofcandy on
196ft asteroid. Odds have slightly increased to 1 in 83 (now 1/76), torino scale 3.
Potential impact location: near the equator, panama, Atlantic ocean, africa, india, or western myanmar.
Kinda depressing to see all the jokes here. 1% is alarming. The article said it could drop to before then, so that’s good. 1/100 chance to kill millions is scary.
Bouche_Audi_Shyla on
They’ve known this asteroid was coming for years. It was featured on an episode of The Universe about ten years ago.
okuboheavyindustries on
I’ve seen an estimate as high as 6% chance of Earth impact from an astronomer who was able to narrow down the orbit with some old negative sightings. Negative sightings are when you look at old images that could have potentially caught the asteroid on a previous orbit and it doesn’t appear in the image.
AVBforPrez on
That sucks, but if we find the best ragtag team of blue collar miners and inexplicably send them into space to destroy the asteroid using nukes, we’ll probably be fine….
Fir35t0rm on
I’ve played too much XCOM2 that a 99% chance to miss is far too risky.
thisaccountgotporn on
Nuke alert lol. I’ve always imagined accidental nuclear exchange following a misunderstood asteroid impact
29 Comments
is it extinction level? I thought it was a pretty small one
Dear god let that that percentage be wrong and its a higher chance.
Oh yes, deliver me into a disaster that humans did not create!
[removed]
I feel like we could all benefit from a lil existential threat right now
Let me just fix that headline:
“Asteroid is like all the others and isn’t going to hit Earth”
My wife gave birth to my first child last year. I picked a really bad time to start caring about the future.
Here come totally original comments “oh those odds are too short”, “good, humanity was a mistake”, etc. Same thing, every time something like this is posted
Ben Affleck has some thoughts on this statistic
Since 90% of the commenters can’t be bothered to read the article, here’s the size:
> First spotted last month by a telescope in Chile, the near-Earth asteroid — designated 2024 YR4 — is estimated to be 130 to 330 feet (40 to 100 metres) across.
For reference, the Tunguska event asteroid was about 50-60m.
I’m ready with my little Wile E. Coyote umbrella.
Damn. That means we’re gonna have to see Mahommes win 7 more Super Bowls. I might be rooting for the asteroid at that point.
Oh okay, this is definitely going to happen then. These days I simply ask myself, “what’s the worst thing that could possibly happen” and assume that it will, hasn’t failed me in a while
Ya know, everyone is joking here but a 1% chance is still a chance. We really need to work on our detection and mitigation strategies for these things.
I mean, it’s gonna happen at some point right?
Interesting, I don’t think I’ve ever seen one listed with a Torino Scale of 3 before
From the article: “Earth gets clobbered by an asteroid this size every few thousand years, according to ESA, with the potential for severe damage. That is why this one now tops ESA’s asteroid risk list.”
*The asteroid came closest to Earth on Christmas Day — passing within roughly 500,000 miles (800,000km) of Earth, about twice the distance to the moon. It was discovered two days later.*
It is concerning that it was this close to us and we didn’t even notice until two days after the fact. We are basically flying blind here
Could we all run to one side of the continent or something to steer into it?
If I die at 42 (the answer to the meaning of life, the universe, and all things) during a “don’t look up” kind of scenario…We all live in a simulation…and it’s fucked.
1/100 seems really high to be honest for a chance of leveling a whole city / filling out atmosphere with the elements etc best case it just lands in the ocean no?
You know, after reading that headline… Just don’t fucking tell me about it. Make it a surprise.
Just in time for me to not receive Social Security. Amazing how things work out sometimes…
196ft asteroid. Odds have slightly increased to 1 in 83 (now 1/76), torino scale 3.
Potential impact location: near the equator, panama, Atlantic ocean, africa, india, or western myanmar.
https://www.space.com/180-foot-asteroid-1-in-83-chance-hitting-Earth-2032
https://neo.ssa.esa.int/risk-list
https://skyandtelescope.org/astronomy-news/newly-discovered-asteroid-has-slight-chance-of-earth-impact-in-2032/
Kinda depressing to see all the jokes here. 1% is alarming. The article said it could drop to before then, so that’s good. 1/100 chance to kill millions is scary.
They’ve known this asteroid was coming for years. It was featured on an episode of The Universe about ten years ago.
I’ve seen an estimate as high as 6% chance of Earth impact from an astronomer who was able to narrow down the orbit with some old negative sightings. Negative sightings are when you look at old images that could have potentially caught the asteroid on a previous orbit and it doesn’t appear in the image.
That sucks, but if we find the best ragtag team of blue collar miners and inexplicably send them into space to destroy the asteroid using nukes, we’ll probably be fine….
I’ve played too much XCOM2 that a 99% chance to miss is far too risky.
Nuke alert lol. I’ve always imagined accidental nuclear exchange following a misunderstood asteroid impact