Did Biden voters abstain from voting in 2024, or did they vote for Trump? A horizontal movement to the right increases abstentions and votes for third parties. Moves parallel to the Democratic axis show a decrease in the proportion of Democratic voters, and movement parallel to the Republican axis to the top would increase the proportion of Republican voters. Most of the moves look like a decrease in Democratic votes going to abstention combined with slight increases in the non-Democrat direction.
It is interesting to see that many of the swing states move upwards in the direction of the republicans. But many states that are solid blue are moving towards abstention
schizeckinosy on
I had to stare at it for a while but I see exactly that. Rs got more R and Ds gave up. 😡
hipotese_alternativa on
idk if I just can’t read this, I’m not American, but is this saying that about 40% of people don’t even vote?
hipotese_alternativa on
idk if I just can’t read this, I’m not American, but is this saying that about 40% of people don’t even vote?
turtley_different on
Huh. Weird pattern.
Dems down to absention everywhere, but the swing states all move to republican without the loss to absention?
Maybe that’s every election due to ad spending and voter engagement.
Iktaiwu on
umm , i see the problem… ya not voting!
marinsteve on
I’m impressed and illuminated at the same time.
flipadelphia2846 on
You should rotate so abstention is at the bottom, dem on the left, and republican on the right.
9aaa73f0 on
Suggested improvements;
* Twitch labels are distracting
* Higher resolution would make it clearer.
* Consistently use the actual party colors (sample it) rather than something nearly close.
* In the 2024 version, have a ‘tail’ (line) to show where it moved from.
![Ternary Plots of the 2024 and 2020 elections [OC]](https://www.byteseu.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/0pri2udkxbqe1-1024x1024.gif "Ternary Plots of the 2024 and 2020 elections [OC]")
9 Comments
I wanted to make an animation to show the different paths states took from 2020 to 2024. This is a ternary plot made in R with the package ggtern.
Source wikipedia and 2023 VAP obtained from Census.
[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election#Results](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election#Results)
[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election#Results](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election#Results)
All data available here: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSi3yLygHeDQXelvJ2-4kxzG3fHemBCO9eGdvT0bJEA7LgIpYbN7cUrv47myCpveegF2RiooATisglS/pubhtml](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSi3yLygHeDQXelvJ2-4kxzG3fHemBCO9eGdvT0bJEA7LgIpYbN7cUrv47myCpveegF2RiooATisglS/pubhtml)
Did Biden voters abstain from voting in 2024, or did they vote for Trump? A horizontal movement to the right increases abstentions and votes for third parties. Moves parallel to the Democratic axis show a decrease in the proportion of Democratic voters, and movement parallel to the Republican axis to the top would increase the proportion of Republican voters. Most of the moves look like a decrease in Democratic votes going to abstention combined with slight increases in the non-Democrat direction.
It is interesting to see that many of the swing states move upwards in the direction of the republicans. But many states that are solid blue are moving towards abstention
I had to stare at it for a while but I see exactly that. Rs got more R and Ds gave up. 😡
idk if I just can’t read this, I’m not American, but is this saying that about 40% of people don’t even vote?
idk if I just can’t read this, I’m not American, but is this saying that about 40% of people don’t even vote?
Huh. Weird pattern.
Dems down to absention everywhere, but the swing states all move to republican without the loss to absention?
Maybe that’s every election due to ad spending and voter engagement.
umm , i see the problem… ya not voting!
I’m impressed and illuminated at the same time.
You should rotate so abstention is at the bottom, dem on the left, and republican on the right.
Suggested improvements;
* Twitch labels are distracting
* Higher resolution would make it clearer.
* Consistently use the actual party colors (sample it) rather than something nearly close.
* In the 2024 version, have a ‘tail’ (line) to show where it moved from.