Quote:
>There is a lot of turmoil taking place in the world. Of course, it could be stated this was always the case. The difference with today is we are more aware of things due to instant communication. Whatever happens is posted on social media within a few minutes.

That said, regardless of what is (or projected) taking place, there is one underlying situation that is not going away. This is the pace of compute.

The following is a screenshot covering the cost of compute since 1939.

https://peakd.com/hive-167922/@taskmaster4450/you-have-roughly-5-years-before-the-world-completely-changes-bgz

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4 Comments

  1. Quote:
    >Since this chart is logarithmic, an flat, upward sloping (45 degree angle) is actually exponential growth. Based upon this, from 1939, we have see a quadrillion fold increase. This means, $1 today gets us a quadrillion more times the compute than it did in 1939.

    There is another important factor. When it comes to software enhancement, we are looking at a million quadrillion increase.

    In a world that is being driven even more by the digital realm, this is crucial. Each new generation means a radical jump in capabilities. That is why the language models of 4 years ago seem rather crappy compared to the ones we have now.

    The industry is doing a remarkable job of keeping pace. Some question whether it can continue.

    In this article we will show how it will and some of the implication.

  2. Packathonjohn on

    My random bullshit prediction that is based on nothing more than my opinion? 2028 will be the most pivotal year in modern history. And after that we’ll be entirely locked in to either things getting much better, or much much worse

  3. GeneralTonic on

    From its confident use of “compute” as a *noun*, to its variety of grammatical errors, at least I know this was written by a human being. Whether they have a point is something I can’t tell, even after reading the piece twice…