Who Will be the Next Pope?
https://smokefilledroom.substack.com/p/who-will-be-the-next-pope?r=2w9tr1
Posted by Alternative-Rate-379
![[OC] Betting Odds Aggregate for Papal Conclave](https://www.byteseu.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/dffabdx96eye1-1024x672.png "[OC] Betting Odds Aggregate for Papal Conclave")
Who Will be the Next Pope?
https://smokefilledroom.substack.com/p/who-will-be-the-next-pope?r=2w9tr1
Posted by Alternative-Rate-379
29 Comments
Data was sourced from Smarkets, Kalshi, and Polymarket and averaged by myself. [https://smokefilledroom.substack.com/p/who-will-be-the-next-pope?r=2w9tr1](https://smokefilledroom.substack.com/p/who-will-be-the-next-pope?r=2w9tr1)
Oh good Sarah is not there.
No doubt there’s plenty of Pope Pools for wagering.
Here to support my dark horse, pizza baller!!
Go “other”! (kidding, I don’t know who any of these guys are)
basing this on betting markets is silly, such systems aren’t even remotely rational
turkson that high, he’s not white, not Italian, there is such little chance in reality it’s actually crazy
that parolin is in charge is the only reason irrational betting markets have him in the lead – but in reality despite being italian and ‘in charge’, that LITERALLY precludes him lol
these markets don’t even a little bit resemble the inner politicos of the conclave, which, even now, is dominated not by traditionalism, but by growing the church as a whole.
trump has a better chance of being the next pope than any listed here, lmao
Which one more closely resembles the [Space Pope](https://futurama.fandom.com/wiki/Space_Pope)? My money is on that “guy”.
[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-WDNXOzKm2A](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-WDNXOzKm2A)
I’m hoping for Pizza Balla for the name
What about Trump? Lindsey said he could be a President and Pope!
/s
I’m an atheist so I couldn’t care less about this… but seriously, how can they pick anyone that isn’t Pizzaballa ?
What happened to that French guy that everyone assumed was a hand-picked successor?
There’s no need to have both a key and data labels
It is funny how realistic *Rat Race* turned out to be. Rich fucks will bet on literally anything and everything.
We need a report from Fr. Guido Sarducci.
Pizzaballa FTW. Thin crust or deep-dish doesn’ta matta, everyone loves pizza. As long as he’s not Hawaiian.
Do recall that this is based purely on vibes to the point that frontrunner rarely ever wins because of this little known fact that people can’t read cardinals’ minds
I’m rooting for Turkson, because I like his line color.
I really don’t want an other pope.
What happened to Parolin? Just other people joining the race and reducing his absolute percentage?
Why is Trump’s name not on this list!?!
Is the guy’s name really “Pizzza dances”?
What are the odds of it being Trump?
Left me off the graph, I have zero percent support as I am not a Catholic. Fun Fact: you do not have to be a cardinal to be Pope, it has happened.
There’s seriously someone named Pizzaballa? 🤣🤣🤣
I bet the old white conservative man will win .. oh wait
Trump is third?
Make Roman Catholicism Great Again
How the hell do they have betting odds from 1503?
If Pizzaballa doesn’t make it then they need to get a deal going with Tostino’s!