Using the deficit increase from the Big Beautiful Bill and the debt increase timestamps from the bill itself I’ve plotted the rate change of debt just from interest accumulation per minute through the next 10 years. One major assumption made is that US credit rating is not downgraded, which appears to be less likely than before.

Posted by MrGlockCLE

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27 Comments

  1. Pulled debt data from OMB Budget. Worked up in prism. Debt assumption is from CBU and CRFB forecasts. Per minute calculated on basic math in excel.

    First time poster so Mods plz don’t execute me for bad formatting lol.

  2. I’ve literally never ever seen a bill like this get *worse* with dynamic scoring from the CBO

  3. If the bottom label of the y axis on your chart does not read “0”, it isn’t beautiful.

  4. InfidelZombie on

    Hey, nobody said that killing all those poor people in rural red districts was gonna be cheap!

  5. Some feedback regarding the “beautiful” aspect.

    1. No reason to cut off the y-axis at 1.8 Million. It exaggerates the difference, sure, but isn’t good practice. Yes you’re trying to show the difference between the 2, but difference is relative to the base number. E.g. debt going from 10 -> 20 instead of 10 ->15 is significant, debt going from 1000->1010 instead of 1000 -> 1005 is a rounding error. That context matters.

    2. Units on the y axis are really hard to decipher because of the number of zeros. Either add commas (e.g. $1,800,000) or measure in thousands/millions (e.g. $1.8 Million)

    3. Nominal debt is a pretty poor metric. Either graphing debt:gdp or just the percentage differences between the 2 measures would be more informative.

  6. Can’t wait for true massive tax hike on all us non-billionaires and insane benefits cuts in a few years when the country collapses under debt.

  7. Does this factor in the depression that is sure to result if Trumps tax cuts expire?

  8. certainly is data, but it isn’t beautiful and it never specifies that this is an assumption on the graph.

  9. ChocolateBunny on

    Shouldn’t we see some bumps? I thought most of the medicare cuts happen in 2026 and some of the tax breaks go away in 2028.

  10. BigCountry1182 on

    It just keeps getting worse and worse… we can’t help ourselves. We are the richest nation to have ever existed but we can’t stop spending money we don’t have.

    How about instead of a widely impracticable tax on unrealized gains and no spending cap, we reign in spending and prohibit loans to individuals collateralized by financial positions so that the uber wealthy have to claim more in income/ltg tax to fund their lifestyle

  11. Frustratedtx on

    Easy fix. Just take all of Musk, Ellison, Bezos, and Zuckerbergs money and that makes up the difference. It’s mostly their fault we are here so they can pay for it.

  12. Time for some budget cuts in a certain area of the government. Let’s start with those expensive golf vacations.

  13. What a joke. Assumes no growth or how growth would have fallen off a cliff if the tax cuts went away. Not apples to apples whatsoever

  14. This has been their playbook for decades. Run up the deficit so that the dems can’t do what they promise when they get into power. Nothing new.

    P.S. Just noticed the Y axis doesn’t start at zero. That’s a bit cheap tbh.

  15. slayer_of_idiots on

    It only works this way if you allow the tax cuts to expire, which would have happened without this bill.