* Bank of England expected to cut interest rates from 4% to 3.75%, the lowest level since February 2023
* Decision due Thursday and will be the final rate decision of the year
* Move driven by signs of cooling inflation and a slowing UK economy
* CPI inflation fell to a four-month low of 3.6% in October, helped by slower rises in gas and electricity prices
* Economists believe easing inflation supports the case for a rate cut
* AJ Bell says a cut would be “festive news” for borrowers
* Investec notes recent tax measures will not materially affect the current interest rate debate, though frozen income tax thresholds continue to weigh on the economy
* Oxford Economics says a cut is likely but not certain, with the MPC deeply divided
* Four of nine MPC members are expected to oppose the cut
* Final decision likely to hinge on Governor Andrew Bailey, who sees improving inflation prospects
* US Federal Reserve has also cut rates, but signalled caution over further easing
* Bank of England expected to focus on reaching its 2% inflation target rather than delivering multiple cuts next year
* Autumn Budget seen as less helpful in reducing inflation than expected, as income tax rates were not raised
Cottonshopeburnfoot on
Keep it up guys! At least until I remortgage this year then idgaf
radiant_0wl on
It’s likely they’ll cut it.
But there’s also arguments that they shouldn’t – inflation is still way above target and projected to remain it for the entire of 2026.
Supermarket food cost inflation is projected to be in excess of 5% next year due to NMW, business rate increases.
A faltering economy isn’t a concern for the MPC only the projected impacts it may have on the inflation target, a deduction may help the economy but it’s counterproductive to their inflation target.
Safe-Avocado4864 on
Inflation isn’t at or below 2% yet so this seems like a “we need growth now to avoid a recession” move.
Mjukplister on
Thank FUCK for that , my heart really does go out to people who have been broken by their mortgage going through the roof .
ChickenPijja on
Again, the Fed does something, we copy it a couple weeks later. What’s the point in having the BOE if they just copy + paste what America is doing? Inflation is still high here, near double the 2% target, higher if you only look at the things people spend on regularly (groceries, energy, bills), and that’s what’s killing UK confidence.
JinxxMachina on
I’m on a fix at 1.64% until summer 2027. At least one thing is going my way for a change.
floodtracks on
And that’ll mean my student loan will go down again. Right guys? Right???? [cries in 6.2% post-grad loan]
mixxituk on
This government is ruining this country – somehow – I will find a way to make it so
BeneficialVariety171 on
Never been happier to take the 5 year fix in 2023. Hope it keeps going down enough for remortgage in 2028. Fingers crossed!
sheffieldpud on
Currently on 2.5% and renew in June so I’m really hoping we fall to around that or below!
Illustrious-Engine23 on
My mortgage advisor said I should follow up with them when the rate drops so I can get a better deal, hopefully.
But then again rock bottom interest rates is part of what keeps house prices unaffordable low.
Prestigious_Spot9635 on
These guys have no clue. Dangerous lowering rates to artificially prop up the market
mturner1993 on
Dec 2028 remortgage for me. Did 5 years hoping we would be more into the 2’s. I think BOE will settle at 2.5% eventually. Can’t see it being 1s again if we are adamant at chucking minimum wage up 7% a year.
14 Comments
TL:DR:
* Bank of England expected to cut interest rates from 4% to 3.75%, the lowest level since February 2023
* Decision due Thursday and will be the final rate decision of the year
* Move driven by signs of cooling inflation and a slowing UK economy
* CPI inflation fell to a four-month low of 3.6% in October, helped by slower rises in gas and electricity prices
* Economists believe easing inflation supports the case for a rate cut
* AJ Bell says a cut would be “festive news” for borrowers
* Investec notes recent tax measures will not materially affect the current interest rate debate, though frozen income tax thresholds continue to weigh on the economy
* Oxford Economics says a cut is likely but not certain, with the MPC deeply divided
* Four of nine MPC members are expected to oppose the cut
* Final decision likely to hinge on Governor Andrew Bailey, who sees improving inflation prospects
* US Federal Reserve has also cut rates, but signalled caution over further easing
* Bank of England expected to focus on reaching its 2% inflation target rather than delivering multiple cuts next year
* Autumn Budget seen as less helpful in reducing inflation than expected, as income tax rates were not raised
Keep it up guys! At least until I remortgage this year then idgaf
It’s likely they’ll cut it.
But there’s also arguments that they shouldn’t – inflation is still way above target and projected to remain it for the entire of 2026.
Supermarket food cost inflation is projected to be in excess of 5% next year due to NMW, business rate increases.
A faltering economy isn’t a concern for the MPC only the projected impacts it may have on the inflation target, a deduction may help the economy but it’s counterproductive to their inflation target.
Inflation isn’t at or below 2% yet so this seems like a “we need growth now to avoid a recession” move.
Thank FUCK for that , my heart really does go out to people who have been broken by their mortgage going through the roof .
Again, the Fed does something, we copy it a couple weeks later. What’s the point in having the BOE if they just copy + paste what America is doing? Inflation is still high here, near double the 2% target, higher if you only look at the things people spend on regularly (groceries, energy, bills), and that’s what’s killing UK confidence.
I’m on a fix at 1.64% until summer 2027. At least one thing is going my way for a change.
And that’ll mean my student loan will go down again. Right guys? Right???? [cries in 6.2% post-grad loan]
This government is ruining this country – somehow – I will find a way to make it so
Never been happier to take the 5 year fix in 2023. Hope it keeps going down enough for remortgage in 2028. Fingers crossed!
Currently on 2.5% and renew in June so I’m really hoping we fall to around that or below!
My mortgage advisor said I should follow up with them when the rate drops so I can get a better deal, hopefully.
But then again rock bottom interest rates is part of what keeps house prices unaffordable low.
These guys have no clue. Dangerous lowering rates to artificially prop up the market
Dec 2028 remortgage for me. Did 5 years hoping we would be more into the 2’s. I think BOE will settle at 2.5% eventually. Can’t see it being 1s again if we are adamant at chucking minimum wage up 7% a year.