The math of creating a perfect NCAA bracket has been explored in depth, but using Monte Carlo simulation I was able to show it would require <1 trillion brackets to have created a perfect one in 2025. Simulations used sportsbetting odds and KenPom Efficiency Margin from before the tournament began.

Methods detailed here and attempting the 2026 tournament here

Posted by Grouchy-Resolve141

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2 Comments

  1. KellerTheGamer on

    Have you run a similar analysis for previous tournaments? Last year was definitely pretty tame in terms of upsets from what I remember. Feel like something like 2022 with a 15 seed making the elite eight would need quite a few more required brackets to be successful.

  2. Altruistic_Might_772 on

    You’re really getting into the math behind NCAA brackets, which is awesome! For interview prep, you can use this research to show off your analytical skills and how you work with complex data. Talk about using tools like Monte Carlo simulations and pulling in different data sources. Make sure your examples fit the job you’re going for, like data analysis or sports analytics. If you want more focused practice, [PracHub](https://prachub.com?utm_source=reddit&utm_campaign=andy) has good resources for case studies and technical questions. Good luck with your 2026 simulation!