Hungarian elections results on Sunday according to independent polls vs government polls

Posted by vladgrinch

21 Comments

  1. Bad news. If the government rigges the opinion polls so bad before the elections they are probably preparing to rig the actual elections so that the rigged results would coincide

  2. If Orban still wins these elections, then I sure do hope the EU has plans for this.

  3. RandomPolishCatholic on

    You gotta account for how opposition supporters are generally more likely to vote in those independent polls the people who support the current government.

  4. Tristan_Tate on

    Some info from a hungarian. The EU vote result was perfectly predicted by one of those independent polls. The 2022 election was nearly perfectly predicted by an another one of those independent polls.

    The government rigging the polls isn’t proof they’re gonna rig the election. The only cheating methods that are considered possible and probable can get Orban’s party maybe 4-5 seats maximum.

    The result is going to generally represent what people voted. The question right now isn’t that which party wins, rather the opposition getting 2/3 or not.

  5. Vostok-aregreat-710 on

    Here in Ireland a cartoonist by the handle Kilroy was Here made fun of this phenomenon.

  6. Username117773749146 on

    I really don’t see Orban conceding. Hell if he does I don’t see Tisza reforming the government and doing good enough to not allow Orban to come back later. Something he has done before

  7. cokeguythrowaway on

    Don’t worry, I’m sure the media is already talking how it’s the most secure election in history and will start deplatforming people who do a heckin election denialism.

  8. Organic_Contract_172 on

    Does Budapest like not have commuter suburbs? Would’ve expected more blue in Pest County

  9. There have been some swings in the past few days that aren’t yet obvious in this figure. tacticalvoting.eu predicts 85 districts for Tisza since today.

  10. kindlyneedful on

    I went canvassing in the Pest 06 district, the area just outside Budapest at 2 o’clock. The idea that it would vote orange is laughable. Well over two thirds of the people we’ve contacted are supporters of Tisza, highly engaged and highly motivated. The incumbent is about to receive a ruthless caning at the ballot box.

  11. GustavoistSoldier on

    Tisza will probably win unless Fidesz forms a minority government with Mi Hazank