Maybe Disney is not pushing back so hard after all, huh?
vtjohnhurt on
This is part of a bigger effort to rewrite the history of the 2020 presidential election. Historians will not have access to these records.
Edit: Silver made sense of the data in 2020 and losing his analysis will make it even harder to sort out what happened.
Step Two is to flood the historical record with alternative data and analysis.
Piscator629 on
Before it was compromised 538 was very dependable as a source. Then someone fell for a honeypot and it has become rancid as something to trust.
I405CA on
>BTW, I approached ABC about buying back the former FiveThirtyEight IP*, and they said they wouldn’t sell at any price because I’d criticized their management of the brand. Costing Disney shareholders $$ b/c of their vindictiveness.
What will history do without the quasi statistical political analysis of a self loathing baseball fan?!
SharkMeifele on
JohnCenaThirtyEight, maybe?
irrelevantusername24 on
Maybe people are starting to realize that what numerous highly respected people from various backgrounds and eras said was true: when it comes to “social” things, the data can explain what happened but it will never help to predict what will happen. Confusing the two, and making claims about what will happen is almost sure to fuck everything up because if there’s one thing that is almost unchanged throughout all human history, it’s that humans do not like being told what they are going to do and we will actively harm ourselves and those around us to prove that prediction wrong. You can disagree, but you’re wrong
14 Comments
Silver knew what he was doing.
Maybe Disney is not pushing back so hard after all, huh?
This is part of a bigger effort to rewrite the history of the 2020 presidential election. Historians will not have access to these records.
Edit: Silver made sense of the data in 2020 and losing his analysis will make it even harder to sort out what happened.
Step Two is to flood the historical record with alternative data and analysis.
Before it was compromised 538 was very dependable as a source. Then someone fell for a honeypot and it has become rancid as something to trust.
>BTW, I approached ABC about buying back the former FiveThirtyEight IP*, and they said they wouldn’t sell at any price because I’d criticized their management of the brand. Costing Disney shareholders $$ b/c of their vindictiveness.
>* I own the models but the trademarks, etc.
>[https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/2055353919585325333](https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/2055353919585325333)
If Silver is correct, then it’s a grudge match.
How does even the Wayback Machine get redirected to ABC news? Doesn’t the archive host these files separately?
Orwellian.
get it while it lasts:
[https://web.archive.org/web/20210115033501/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/](https://web.archive.org/web/20210115033501/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/)
[https://web.archive.org/web/20260000000000*/https://data.fivethirtyeight.com/](https://web.archive.org/web/20260000000000*/https://data.fivethirtyeight.com/)
What will history do without the quasi statistical political analysis of a self loathing baseball fan?!
JohnCenaThirtyEight, maybe?
Maybe people are starting to realize that what numerous highly respected people from various backgrounds and eras said was true: when it comes to “social” things, the data can explain what happened but it will never help to predict what will happen. Confusing the two, and making claims about what will happen is almost sure to fuck everything up because if there’s one thing that is almost unchanged throughout all human history, it’s that humans do not like being told what they are going to do and we will actively harm ourselves and those around us to prove that prediction wrong. You can disagree, but you’re wrong
edit: that being said
https://www.natesilver.net/p/democrats-are-not-ok-with-boomers
https://www.natesilver.net/p/a-random-number-generator-determined
They should be posted in AO3 as a novel
God we’re so fucked
It’s the modern equivalent of book burning. Thankful this has been archived.