Nova Scotia having Lewis as a guest speaker at their convention is a pretty big contrast from Saskatchewan and Alberta’s NDP leaders
TopazJazzrazz on
Local organization could pay off big time. Especially in comparison to a government that may take away the right to strike, backpedal on climate, etc. As well as an opposition that is about as hostile to the average Canadian than a foreign adversary is.
No_Magazine9625 on
To be blunt, they should not be using NS as a blueprint. Yes, the NS NDP formed opposition last election for the first time in 4 elections. However, if you really look at the underlying metrics behind the 2024 election results, it was hardly a great result for the NDP.
1. The NS Liberals were at their all time low point only winning 2 seats – that flipped a few swing seats to the NDP.
2. Even with the NSLP shitting the bed to a historic degree, the NDP still finished 3rd in popular vote, and only gained 1% of the popular vote in their supposed “breakthrough”.
3. The support numbers for the NDP were massively concentrated in a small handful of dense urban Halifax and Dartmouth ridings. Their support out of HRM actually decreased over the previous election. When the NDP won power in 2009, they won the majority of rural seats, and they are showing 0 signs of being anything other than an inner city rump.
4. Really, all that happened for the NDP between 2021 and 2024 elections is the Liberal decimation flipped 3 swing seats that were always going to flip with the Liberals performing that poorly. They also ran up the vote with huge majorities in peninsula Halifax and urban Dartmouth ridings.
I see no real signs that Chender made any real gains that aren’t smoke and mirrors, and even if the NDP gain 5% more provincial popular vote, they probably have a ceiling of maybe 12 seats. It’s not a winning strategy.
3 Comments
Nova Scotia having Lewis as a guest speaker at their convention is a pretty big contrast from Saskatchewan and Alberta’s NDP leaders
Local organization could pay off big time. Especially in comparison to a government that may take away the right to strike, backpedal on climate, etc. As well as an opposition that is about as hostile to the average Canadian than a foreign adversary is.
To be blunt, they should not be using NS as a blueprint. Yes, the NS NDP formed opposition last election for the first time in 4 elections. However, if you really look at the underlying metrics behind the 2024 election results, it was hardly a great result for the NDP.
1. The NS Liberals were at their all time low point only winning 2 seats – that flipped a few swing seats to the NDP.
2. Even with the NSLP shitting the bed to a historic degree, the NDP still finished 3rd in popular vote, and only gained 1% of the popular vote in their supposed “breakthrough”.
3. The support numbers for the NDP were massively concentrated in a small handful of dense urban Halifax and Dartmouth ridings. Their support out of HRM actually decreased over the previous election. When the NDP won power in 2009, they won the majority of rural seats, and they are showing 0 signs of being anything other than an inner city rump.
4. Really, all that happened for the NDP between 2021 and 2024 elections is the Liberal decimation flipped 3 swing seats that were always going to flip with the Liberals performing that poorly. They also ran up the vote with huge majorities in peninsula Halifax and urban Dartmouth ridings.
I see no real signs that Chender made any real gains that aren’t smoke and mirrors, and even if the NDP gain 5% more provincial popular vote, they probably have a ceiling of maybe 12 seats. It’s not a winning strategy.