Bubblemaps investigators led by Nicolas Vaiman, discovered 80 bets on Polymarket with a 98% win rate that he said is statistically impossible to achieve
https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/05/21/crypto-prediction-markets-are-turning-into-dangerous-national-security-risks-and-congress-wants-to-ban-them
2 Comments
A 98% win rate across dozens of geopolitical bets is honestly insane if the data is accurate.
> a cluster of 80 highly accurate bets on **U.S. military actions against Iran**
This is even worse than the title suggests