Another guy with an AGI prediction, so what? Fair, but part of the reason why I find this interesting is:
1) SoftBank is one of the largest conglomerates in the world
2) It used to be only AI-industry people with 3-5 year AGI timelines. AGI wasn’t really on anyone’s radar until recently.
3) He said he expects AGI to arrive in 3-5 years, ASI within 10 years.
Spara-Extreme on
Softbank CEO doesn’t understand how the current AI works.
SpillinThaTea on
SoftBank also tossed a bunch of cash at WeWork and look how that turned out
mosenewbell on
Yeah? Well, you know, that’s just like uh, his opinion, man.
PeacefulGopher on
lol they literally sold their NVidia positions before the run up and lost out on $150 Billion in upsides. Yeah, not the best to listen to about getting the future right…
PornstarVirgin on
Breaking ceo who has billions invested in the industry has something to say!
ABrokenBinding on
Current AI still won’t tell me who won the election in 2020. Perhaps he means smarter than some specific humans…?
Komikaze06 on
Ya, and new battery tech is 10 years away.
Nonsense
Barry_Bunghole_III on
Whenever someone predicts the future, regardless of how qualified they are, turn your brain off immediately lol
fremiamagus on
We are still and far away from Generalized Artificial Intelligence. How far? A few hundred years based on similar breakthroughs in other industries.
The largest 3 problems to fix right now are hallucinations, power use, and outright fabricating of data which will likely be solved in the next fifty.
Next steps will be to monitor the growth of neural networks and cull errant dead ends in its’ development as well as increasing memory density(both short and long), and cooling, assuming no major tech breakthroughs on this front in the way to manage it without such. If photonics ever become a real thing it may be possible to not require cooling, but this won’t happen this century or next. By errant dead ends I mean the propensity of current algorithms to pick a certain path and just stick to it no matter how much of a headache it becomes.
After that; you most likely have the groundwork necessary for a Real AGI/GAI.
DriftMantis on
This guy probably can’t even define what smarter means in any context because he’s just a talking head trying to advertise his speculative wares.
sardoodledom_autism on
That Ai will immediately ask the SoftBank ceo why he invested in WeWork and lost billions…
WildBorneos on
this CEO must be drinking something very woozy… in case m wrong us dumb humans make all this fake ai crap so the realization is NOT IN HIS LIFE CAN THIS HAPPEN
Devilnaht on
This is just asinine. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. Why is it that we forget that when it comes to this outlandish tech bullshit? How many cycles of people with clear financial incentives making absolutely buck wild claims about tech that is always “5-10 years away” have we been through in the last 10 or 15 years? And we’re supposed to take it seriously when the CEO of a fucking investment group when he says ‘found his life’s purpose to evolve humanity’? I’m sick of all the uninformed AI speculation and egregious scams and grift that it enables.
structee on
Probably another cover story to allow them to fire a bunch of people
ThresholdSeven on
I can make up numbers too. Pretty sure nobody knows what AI will be in 10 years, but I can almost guarantee it won’t be even 1x as smart as a human. What’s the metric? Faster at math? Already done. Able to problem solve creatively? Maybe. Able to pass as human? Unlikely.
“10,000” times “smarter” than humans is such a vague and arbitrary number that is just as ridiculous as anybody’s guess.
BlackPresident on
My calculator is already 10,000 times smarter than me at maths, I calculated it
Ethereal_Bulwark on
And it will be highly regulated, limited, and have multiple kill switches.
shaz_y on
Yeah, the CEO of Softbank really shouldn’t be making assumptions like these. Look at Softbank’s failed ventures; Wework & Sprint (which was dying before the T-Mobile acquisition).
scots on
I can’t wait to rush headlong into AGI level AI while we cling to economic models that assure that large corporations will utilize this exponential efficiency increase to lay waste to their workforce, throwing massive swathes of the population into bread lines.
22 Comments
Another guy with an AGI prediction, so what? Fair, but part of the reason why I find this interesting is:
1) SoftBank is one of the largest conglomerates in the world
2) It used to be only AI-industry people with 3-5 year AGI timelines. AGI wasn’t really on anyone’s radar until recently.
3) He said he expects AGI to arrive in 3-5 years, ASI within 10 years.
Softbank CEO doesn’t understand how the current AI works.
SoftBank also tossed a bunch of cash at WeWork and look how that turned out
Yeah? Well, you know, that’s just like uh, his opinion, man.
lol they literally sold their NVidia positions before the run up and lost out on $150 Billion in upsides. Yeah, not the best to listen to about getting the future right…
Breaking ceo who has billions invested in the industry has something to say!
Current AI still won’t tell me who won the election in 2020. Perhaps he means smarter than some specific humans…?
Ya, and new battery tech is 10 years away.
Nonsense
Whenever someone predicts the future, regardless of how qualified they are, turn your brain off immediately lol
We are still and far away from Generalized Artificial Intelligence. How far? A few hundred years based on similar breakthroughs in other industries.
The largest 3 problems to fix right now are hallucinations, power use, and outright fabricating of data which will likely be solved in the next fifty.
Next steps will be to monitor the growth of neural networks and cull errant dead ends in its’ development as well as increasing memory density(both short and long), and cooling, assuming no major tech breakthroughs on this front in the way to manage it without such. If photonics ever become a real thing it may be possible to not require cooling, but this won’t happen this century or next. By errant dead ends I mean the propensity of current algorithms to pick a certain path and just stick to it no matter how much of a headache it becomes.
After that; you most likely have the groundwork necessary for a Real AGI/GAI.
This guy probably can’t even define what smarter means in any context because he’s just a talking head trying to advertise his speculative wares.
That Ai will immediately ask the SoftBank ceo why he invested in WeWork and lost billions…
this CEO must be drinking something very woozy… in case m wrong us dumb humans make all this fake ai crap so the realization is NOT IN HIS LIFE CAN THIS HAPPEN
This is just asinine. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. Why is it that we forget that when it comes to this outlandish tech bullshit? How many cycles of people with clear financial incentives making absolutely buck wild claims about tech that is always “5-10 years away” have we been through in the last 10 or 15 years? And we’re supposed to take it seriously when the CEO of a fucking investment group when he says ‘found his life’s purpose to evolve humanity’? I’m sick of all the uninformed AI speculation and egregious scams and grift that it enables.
Probably another cover story to allow them to fire a bunch of people
I can make up numbers too. Pretty sure nobody knows what AI will be in 10 years, but I can almost guarantee it won’t be even 1x as smart as a human. What’s the metric? Faster at math? Already done. Able to problem solve creatively? Maybe. Able to pass as human? Unlikely.
“10,000” times “smarter” than humans is such a vague and arbitrary number that is just as ridiculous as anybody’s guess.
My calculator is already 10,000 times smarter than me at maths, I calculated it
And it will be highly regulated, limited, and have multiple kill switches.
Yeah, the CEO of Softbank really shouldn’t be making assumptions like these. Look at Softbank’s failed ventures; Wework & Sprint (which was dying before the T-Mobile acquisition).
I can’t wait to rush headlong into AGI level AI while we cling to economic models that assure that large corporations will utilize this exponential efficiency increase to lay waste to their workforce, throwing massive swathes of the population into bread lines.
I’d like to direct your attention to[ this documentary on the subject. ](https://images.bauerhosting.com/legacy/empire-tmdb/films/603/images/7u3pxc0K1wx32IleAkLv78MKgrw.jpg?ar=16:9&fit=crop&crop=top)
Hope this idiot and his crap company lose all their half-assed investments.
Maybe an AI would have more sense than the jokers running the Softbank vision fund.
Isn’t there a theoretical upper limit to intelligence?