Market share data courtesy of yipitdata.com.
There are others, but Waymo in the US and Badiu's Apollo Go in China, now seem ready for take-off with robo-taxis. From now on the only constraints to growth will be how quick they can deploy new vehicles to new markets. When this explosive growth is finished, there will be tens of millions of robo-taxis in every town and city on planet Earth.
The real revolution will be the global displacement of tens, perhaps hundreds, of millions of human driver jobs. We are rushing headlong into this future without anyone preparing for it, yet it's going to happen whether people like it or not, and it's heading straight for us.
Waymo now has 22% market share of taxi journeys in San Francisco, and now exceeds human-driver taxi company Lyft.
byu/lughnasadh inFuturology
1 Comment
There’s a lot more constraints, the most important of which the one that holds back most of these futuristic tech dreams: legislation and accountability. Self-driving cars aren’t anywhere near proven safe enough for more careful governments, notably in Europe.
Another constraint is navigability. US cities are easy mode for automated driving due to their car-centric nature, simple layouts and relatively good infrastructure. European cities will prove more of a challenge due to layouts and less priority given to cars, and in developing countries the quality of infrastructure will greatly limit possibilities.