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    US stock market returns (1872 to 2024) -- the less you look, the more you win [OC]
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    US stock market returns (1872 to 2024) — the less you look, the more you win [OC]

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    1. getToTheChopin on

      All charts and analysis: [https://themeasureofaplan.com/us-stock-market-returns-1870s-to-present/](https://themeasureofaplan.com/us-stock-market-returns-1870s-to-present/)

      Key insights:

      * Simple Average: the average return of the U.S. stock market has been 8.6% per year over the past ~150 years (1872 to 2024)
      * Annualized Average: the return of the U.S. stock market has been 7.1% per year on an annualized average basis, over the past ~150 years
      * The market has grown in 69% of all years, and declined in 31% of all years on record
      * While the range of returns across 1-year periods has varied significantly (from negative 37.0% to +53.2%), the annualized returns across 20-year periods have a much tighter range (from +0.5% to +13.2%)
      * The U.S. stock market has never declined over any 20-year period in history

      Tools used: excel, powerpoint

      Data sources: Robert Shiller dataset, Yahoo Finance

    2. fap_fap_fap_fapper on

      the less you look, the more you win

      ELI5? Does that mean the longer the time period, the more the…?

    4. dunkthefunkk on

      An average return of 0.5% per year over 20 years is pretty scary to think about. I get that it’s a worst case outcome, but still. Cool chart though!