[OC] Four teams in the NFL have a 4th-down conversion rate above 70%: Those four teams are in the Conference Championships (NFL, American football)
Posted by JPAnalyst
[OC] Four teams in the NFL have a 4th-down conversion rate above 70%: Those four teams are in the Conference Championships (NFL, American football)
Posted by JPAnalyst
14 Comments
Source: Pro Football Reference https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2024/index.htm
Chart: Excel
Fascinating watching the game evolve
Washington has itself quite the QB. Next weekend will be fantastic
Can we see data for how many fourth down conversions were attempted? I would assume that these teams don’t get into the predicament of needing a fourth down conversion as often as others.
thanks for the stat. I was thinking about this when I watched the games over the weekend but didn’t bother to look up the stats.
What’s with the NFL spam? I swear all of a sudden I’m seeing a dozen posts about this shit everywhere while having no interest in it lol…
Now show how many were achieved via penalty.
How often do they go for it?
There are a few reasons that I can point towards that could explain this, other than just these being the best teams at 4th downs.
– All 4 teams have good – great records, rarely needing to go for it on 4 & 13 with 90 seconds left when down 6, so go for it in bad sitauations less
– At least 2 of the teams (Eagles and Bills) have pretty damn automatic QB sneaks on 4th and short, inflating their percentages.
– Andy Reid is notoriously averse to going for it on 4th down (source: I’m a chiefs fan…. I know, i’m sorry) so will only really go for it when it’s 4th and inches
None of this is backed up with any data that i’ve looked up, just my hunch.
Yes but the bears are above several teams that are much better than them, so that shows how one statistic is not meaningful in isolation.
How many of the Chief’s conversions came off a penalty?
Wow, so the best football teams tend to be the best at doing football stuff? The insight is amazing.
Mmhhmm, yes…
I know some of these words
There was an interview with a high school coach or college coach like over a decade ago I remember watching where the name of the piece was “the coach that never punts”.
The guy was looking purely at the stats of 4th down conversions and he figured out that unless you’re in your own end zone, statically going for it every time, you come out ahead more often than punting. You convert the 4th down enough statically to negate the loss of field position if you don’t convert.
Neat to see that mentally getting up into the Pros.