The latest projections produced by Eurostat, the EU’s official statistics agency, suggest that the bloc’s population will be 6% smaller by 2100 based on current trends – falling to 419 million, from 447 million today.

    But that decline pales in comparison with Eurostat’s scenario without immigration. The agency projects a population decline of more than a third, to 295 million by 2100, when it excludes immigration from its modelling.

    Posted by Curious_Suchit

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    31 Comments

    1. CasualObserverNine on

      The crisis is that we can’t exist in a static manner.

      For some reason constant growth is expected/mandated.

    2. Pretty scary stuff, we need policies that encourage people to have kids and support families. Don’t even know if that would have an effect. People’s mentality and values need to fundamentally change.

    3. WhenThatBotlinePing on

      Europe has freedom of movement though, wouldn’t population loss in one place attract new people looking for lower prices?

    4. Are they accounting for any growth that might then happen once parenting and raising a family get cheaper as scarcity decreases?

    5. The prediction suck. It have an assumption, than fertility rate will be the same next 75 years. I bet I will be near zero in 25 years

    6. And yet these countries in general reject immigration vehemontly, including those of high expertise and educated.

    7. And this is why it needs to be flooded with Africans and Arabs? Because that doesn’t sound nice either.

    8. In the grim darkness of the near future, there is only… Irish, French, Czechs, Syrians, and Swedes?

    9. king_of_the_nothing on

      This only a crisis because it has never happened in modern times.

      Every government knows how to deal with inflation, but deflation? If prices go down, wages (the price of labor) will also go down. Nobody knows how that would work.

      We have developers who plan how to build more housing on existing land or bring more land into the housing market. What happens when we need fewer houses?

      Nobody knows. We have never done that. This scares planners, economists and politicians. It is a crisis for them. For the rest of us, fewer people on the planet would be a good thing.

    10. As I understand these predictions made under the assumption current migration trends will persist during the next 75 years, which is hard to believe.

    11. amadan_an_iarthair on

      Ageing population with low fertility rates population projected.
      They’re quiet fascinating. 

    12. EpicDarkFantasyWrite on

      Population cannot keep growing forever, at some point it will have to stop and come down. Maybe bad for the short-term, but in the long run I see this being better for mental health, for the environment, for culture, probably even the economy if we transition correctly. We were not meant to live in smaller and smaller boxes, in more and more polluted and sprawling cities with no connection to those around us.

    13. Love how some racist right wingers suddenly become anti-capitalists once they have to decide between infinite growth and *checks notes* living near brown people.

    14. EU please make it easier for Americans to immigrate, i promise I will enroll in language and culture classes. I just want to spend my days riding my bicycle in the countryside and studying history and learning about historical buildings and architecture and learning a new language.

    15. This makes some stunning assumptions about the behavior of generations that haven’t been born yet. 

    16. There’s nothing wrong with static or declining population numbers, unless you are a capitalist who thinks the line must always go up.

    17. I think the trick is to rely on immigration and delay this declining population issue for long enough for it to become the world’s problem, then you can see how countries go about solving it and get a head start.

    18. Make living for locals affordable and there will be no population problem, they only want migrants because they are cheaper to keep happy and don’t have to treat them like citizens

    19. 2100???? The idea that you can predict demographic changes that far ahead with the speed of technological change is beyond crazy