So this is a post about how technology changes and about how we predict it will change. Basically we are not good at that prediction part. So when it comes to trying to project forward as to what may happen, we tend to basis it on the assumptions of now or event those of yesteryear. Yet changes in technology have so many variables at play we miss the wood for the trees. As some who has studied technology changes, it’s important to note that we will get projections wrong, question is how and where do we get it wrong.
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So this is a post about how technology changes and about how we predict it will change. Basically we are not good at that prediction part. So when it comes to trying to project forward as to what may happen, we tend to basis it on the assumptions of now or event those of yesteryear. Yet changes in technology have so many variables at play we miss the wood for the trees. As some who has studied technology changes, it’s important to note that we will get projections wrong, question is how and where do we get it wrong.