Can we predict this enough to land a bunch of HD probes within sight for a livestream?
wwarnout on
For perspective, this is equivalent to a 6 megaton nuclear warhead. Russia and the US have warheads more powerful than this.
Also, an asteroid 100 meters in diameter (roughly 250,000 tons), traveling at 10 km/sec (low end of velocity for most asteroids) would release approximately this much energy.
12edDawn on
Hmm… how big is that is standard US Government cheese wheels?
If it was yesterday, this would make a lot more sense
NatureTrailToHell3D on
Les check the odds from the article
>Observations from JWST suggest that 2024 YR4 has a nonzero chance of striking the lunar surface.
That is not exactly high confidence and more like they have no real idea yet
Dawg_in_NWA on
Let’s get all the cameras up there and seismometers.
nicuramar on
Heading toward something isn’t a force. Also, force isn’t the same as energy, which they seem to be actually talking about.
hungry_lizard_00 on
This is the same asteroid that briefly had about a 2.7% chance of hitting Earth. Even then it had a non-zero chance of a lunar impact. The reason it’s making news again is because, as planned earlier, JWST finally got around to taking a look at the asteroid. The article (and the JWST report) doesn’t say if the probability of lunar impact has changed.
(Edit: added the word “lunar” before impact)
anxious_differential on
So its “movement” is the force of x number of bombs? Isn’t that like saying you can make the Kessel run in under 10 parsecs?
Shouldn’t this be expressed as speed, in m/sec perhaps?
I guess what the headline of this post means is the asteroid will hit the surface of the moon and that impact could, potentially, release energy equivalent to x bombs.
What is all this in schoolbus, bananas, or size of Manhattan?
tom21g on
From the article:
> Would a Lunar Impact Affect Earth?
Despite the asteroid’s immense power, experts assure the public that an impact on the Moon would have no direct consequences for Earth.
What about debris scattered after the impact? What if the impact is not a direct hit on the surface but a glancing blow?
Will be interesting to see the predictions refined over time.
sunnykutta on
“Every asteroid’s a gangsta until Jupiter arrives”
KungPowKitten on
If it’s not gonna hit Mar-a-lago, is it really newsworthy?
lowendslinger on
We dont need tides anymore do we? Get lost pesky moon, you are costing us so much in useless exploration!
HablarYEscuchar on
I think it’s a 2% chance of impact. Let’s not go crazy either.
weird-oh on
Yes, a site called “trendovibes” is absolutely where you should go for scientific information. /sarcasm
14 Comments
Can we predict this enough to land a bunch of HD probes within sight for a livestream?
For perspective, this is equivalent to a 6 megaton nuclear warhead. Russia and the US have warheads more powerful than this.
Also, an asteroid 100 meters in diameter (roughly 250,000 tons), traveling at 10 km/sec (low end of velocity for most asteroids) would release approximately this much energy.
Hmm… how big is that is standard US Government cheese wheels?
If it was yesterday, this would make a lot more sense
Les check the odds from the article
>Observations from JWST suggest that 2024 YR4 has a nonzero chance of striking the lunar surface.
That is not exactly high confidence and more like they have no real idea yet
Let’s get all the cameras up there and seismometers.
Heading toward something isn’t a force. Also, force isn’t the same as energy, which they seem to be actually talking about.
This is the same asteroid that briefly had about a 2.7% chance of hitting Earth. Even then it had a non-zero chance of a lunar impact. The reason it’s making news again is because, as planned earlier, JWST finally got around to taking a look at the asteroid. The article (and the JWST report) doesn’t say if the probability of lunar impact has changed.
(Edit: added the word “lunar” before impact)
So its “movement” is the force of x number of bombs? Isn’t that like saying you can make the Kessel run in under 10 parsecs?
Shouldn’t this be expressed as speed, in m/sec perhaps?
I guess what the headline of this post means is the asteroid will hit the surface of the moon and that impact could, potentially, release energy equivalent to x bombs.
What is all this in schoolbus, bananas, or size of Manhattan?
From the article:
> Would a Lunar Impact Affect Earth?
Despite the asteroid’s immense power, experts assure the public that an impact on the Moon would have no direct consequences for Earth.
What about debris scattered after the impact? What if the impact is not a direct hit on the surface but a glancing blow?
Will be interesting to see the predictions refined over time.
“Every asteroid’s a gangsta until Jupiter arrives”
If it’s not gonna hit Mar-a-lago, is it really newsworthy?
We dont need tides anymore do we? Get lost pesky moon, you are costing us so much in useless exploration!
I think it’s a 2% chance of impact. Let’s not go crazy either.
Yes, a site called “trendovibes” is absolutely where you should go for scientific information. /sarcasm