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    [OC] Democrats now lead by +3% in Generic Ballot Average
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    [OC] Democrats now lead by +3% in Generic Ballot Average

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    34 Comments

    2. orionsfyre on

      Great, now if we could only find a few Generic democrats to vote for worth a warm bottle of spit.

    3. Tomas2891 on

      Is this a surprising trend or just general voter sentiment against the party in power that won the last election? Basically did Biden and the democrats got the same drop in 2020?

    4. azzers214 on

      Problem is you’re not really undoing Trumpism until that reads 60% or more. The Republican party has specialized in “breaking” things and then filibustering until they win an election. The fact Trump got reelected validates that strategy. They’ve done it for nearly 3 decades straight.

      I’m not sure it’s possible, but until rural areas turn on him or the Democrats/Independents successfully enter that space, you’re kinda stuck. And the Republicans know it, which is why their posture has completely changed from “the Constitution is sacred” (because it protected them) to “things aren’t working fast enough”

      As stupid as it is, the Dems will get blamed for not fixing it when they have a 1 person advantage for 4 years.

    6. absboodoo on

      Only 3% after this much of a fuck up? I’m not sure whether to congratulate them or to be worried about it.

    7. notyomamasusername on

      Great, do these “generic” ballots polls ever actually align with election results?

    8. evilsniperxv on

      The fact that it’s only +3 is pathetic. The conservatives are burning the house down around us and 50% of the country thinks it’s good.

    9. tpanevino on

      They also said we were leading last November. I’ll believe it after the mid-terms next year.

    10. Throwaway_For_Debt on

      They could be much higher if they were actually a well run party…

    11. Iztac_xocoatl on

      I wish I was as brain dead as the median voter holy shit. That should be like +15 at least

    12. stockinheritance on

      Every single old ass leader in the Democratic Party needs to step aside if they are 1 for 3 against Trump and can only manage a 3% advantage with all the insane shit Trump has enacted in his first 100 days.

    13. PeterJordanDrake on

      Notsure this will matter in gerrymandered states like Texas and Ohio, but it is encouraging.

    15. whattheprob1emis on

      I don’t fucking trust polls at all now days. Cons have figured out how to fucking game them and it wouldn’t surprise me if they’re gaming other shit too. It’s all rigged.

    16. DocPhilMcGraw on

      Considering all that has happened, that’s not really great news for Dems at all. It kind of backs up other polling that shows Congressional Dems have a lower approval rating than Trump.

      You need a vision, you need to be unified behind common goals, and you need to show you can fight and be effective in that fight. Right now it’s a bit all over the place. You got AOC/Bernie rallying everyone up while the other side of the party is downplaying it as a fringe part of the Democratic movement. Then you got people like Whitmer saying Trump is dangerous while smiling for photos beside him. Schumer is too busy typing up strongly worded emails. And then there is disarray at the DNC over funding challengers for Dem primaries.

    17. PrimalNumber on

      The Dem line hasn’t moved. The red line has shifted to something like “none/other/unsure”. Meaning, come campaign season the flood of cash and the bullshit tornado from Dear Leader will get them right back in line.

    19. phdoofus on

      There’s literally no reason for the differences to be much larger than we’re seeing until the D’s pull their heads out of their asses, stop playing the safe corporatist supporting role, and start putting out their own Project 2025 that simultaneously makes people say “I want that shit” and “that isn’t the boogeyman the Republicans keep saying it is” Stop responding to Trumpism at all. Stop saying ‘Well at least we aren’t those guys’ Stop being baited in to constantly going ‘oh well will you look at them now, do you really want that?’ You have time to foster candidates who aren’t BSC, do that.

    20. RealHornblower on

      They might not even take the House with that. And the Senate map is so bad they need to be doing a lot better to have any shot at all.

      There’s always some incumbency backlash, I expect it will get more dramatic in a few weeks when there are tariff shortages in stores. But 42% will crawl over broken glass to vote GOP, and 20% wouldn’t pay attention until the week before the election even if there was a nuclear war.

    22. pulyx on

      I wouldn’t get my hopes up. Trumpistan will find a way to extend their power to either corrupt the electoral process or outright avoid elections altogether.

    23. TheTrueVanWilder on

      Democrats lead by +3% on the ballot makes it sound like they’ve gained ground. Looking at the chart, they haven’t. Republicans have just been shooting their foot off instead. Another indictment on the party that – even with the chaos of the last three months – they still aren’t presenting an appealing alternative to the voters besides “not Republican”

    24. JoshinIN on

      Generic ballot polls are dumb. It’s basically, if you had a perfect candidate on both sides how would they fare?

    25. Pikminious_Thrious on

      Doesn’t mean anything unless they can hold and maintain that for 3+ years. 

      It’s going to take multiple election cycles to take the Senate back and then decades to move the Supreme Court back from the right.

    26. jeffwinger_esq on

      Meaningless. Harris led in the polling averages on the morning of November 5.

      Polls are cooked.

      Vote vote vote.

    28. ElizabethTheFourth on

      Next year, Trump will look at these low numbers and cut everyone a random stimulus check. His approval rating will instantly rise 10 points because people are dumb and easily bought.

      Enough of this waiting-around bullshit. What are the Democrats specifically doing to win in 2026? What coalitions are being made? What is their action plan?

      They need to stop sitting on their asses, waiting for a victory to fall into their lap. Because just like with high volatility markets, approval ratings can turn on a dime.

    30. soalone34 on

      I think this is a bad result for democrats. The lead was much higher at this point in 2017. Trumps approval isn’t better than it was then, so it’s largely just a greater disdain for democrats.

    32. Malvania on

      Note that because of the way that seats fall, Democrats need something like a +3 percentage point advantage to break even in the House. This is really just saying that the House is a toss-up right now.

    33. apexodoggo on

      Can’t wait to see how Democratic leadership self-sabotages itself back down to a -3% just in time for the midterms. I love voting blue soo much…

    34. Bama-Ram on

      Just like in 2024 when Trump won literally every swing state, both houses, popular vote, and the election.